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03-07-2008, 12:18 PM
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#1 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,650
| Service plays If no one uses these let me know and I won't post them--
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick: Phoenix Suns
900 Daily Play BEST BET: Pepperdine
Marc Lawrence
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GAME: Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics Mar 7, 2008 8:00PM
EXPERT: Marc Lawrence
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: Chicago Bulls
Offered at: 11.5 WSEX
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Chicago Bulls
Note: The new-look Bulls invade Beantown looking to settle a score (or two) tonight. Roll the clock back to December of this season and you’ll see where Chicago took it on the chops twice against the Celtics, losing 92-81 at home on 12/8 and then again in a 107-82 embarrassment on this floor on 12/21.
They’ll take the floor with a spiffy 24-12 ATS mark in this series, including 12-6 on this court. Boston, on the other hand, comes in off a duel Wednesday night with Detroit standing 6-14 SU & 7-13 ATS in games after playing the Pistons.
It’s Friday, go ahead and start the night out with some Red Bull! KEY STAT: Boston is 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS at home versus an opponent playing revenge from a same season loss of 20 or more points.
We recommend a 1-unit play on Chicago.
WINNINGPOINTS
FRI
***BEST BET
*Philadelphia over Seattle by 18
Hey they’re the 76ers. That’s why they’re under the radar screen despite having won
nine of their last 12 games through March 2. They’ve also won their last seven straight
home contests. The 76ers have become one of the better running teams in the Eastern
Conference thanks to former Nuggets point guard Andre Miller, quietly having an
outstanding season. The 76ers should have their legs having been idle for four days,
while the Sonics are playing in their fourth consecutive road game and fourth matchup
in six days. Seattle entered March with a number of its players suffering from the flu.
PHILADELPHIA 108-90
***BEST BET
Chicago over *Boston by 2
The Bulls actually have a solid core of scorers with Drew Gooden and Larry Hughes,
happy to be out of Cleveland, joining a healthy Luol Deng, Ben Gordon and Kirk
Hinrich. Deng and Gordon are playing with intensity hoping to land big free-agent
contracts. The Celtics are off a huge home matchup on Wednesday against the Pistons.
The Bulls had covered nine of their last 12 entering this month. CHICAGO 98-96.
***BEST BET
*Phoenix over Utah by 16
The acquisition of Shaq sure hasn’t hurt Amare Stoudamire. He didn’t score less than
24 points during any game in February and had seven double-doubles for the month.
The Jazz don’t have a defensive stopper to slow down Stoudamire. The Jazz can’t be
trusted on the road. Not with consecutive losses during the final week of last month
to the Clippers and Timberwolves by a combined 21 points. PHOENIX 123-107.
Bobby O |
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03-07-2008, 12:19 PM
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#2 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,650
| Michael Cannon (9-0 last 3 days; 13-4 top play run)
Friday's Plays...
15 Dime –
WRIGHT STATE
Take Wright State over Valpo in the Quarterfinal round of the Horizon Conference tournament.
This is a quick rematch of last Saturday’s overtime thriller when Valpo blew a 13-point halftime lead but rebounded to win, 75-73.
Despite the outcome last week, I loved what I saw from Wright State in that game.
The Raiders have been accustomed to playing tight conference games this year, but they stepped out and throttled Detroit in the opening round of the Horizon tournament, 60-37.
That should give them the needed confidence to get by Valpo tonight.
The Crusaders are on a five-game winning streak, but they are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
Wright State has two of the league’s better clutch performers in guards Vaughn Duggins and Todd Brown, who each boast a positive assist/TO ratio and they both shoot better than 40 percent from beyond the arc.
The Raiders won the Horizon Conference Tournament last year, knocking off Butler, 60-55. Coach Brad Brownell has a good track record in these games, having also led UNC-Wilmington to the Colonial Athletic Association title a few years ago.
I like battle-tested Wright State in this spot, so take the Raiders for the win tonight over Valpo.
10 Dime –
GEORGIA STATE - 2:20 tipoff
Take the points with Georgia State this afternoon over William & Mary in the first round of the CAA tournament.
Don’t be fooled by the overall record of the Panthers. They are one of the more improved teams in the conference this year under new head coach Rod Barnes and they enter this game having won three of their last five.
Georgia State has started to find some offense since sophomore point guard Michael Moynihan moved into the starting lineup. He is averaging 15 ppg over his last five, fellow guards Leonard Mendez and Trae Goldston are each hitting better than 40 percent from 3-point range.
William & Mary enters this game having lost six of its last seven, going 2-5 ATS.
Georgia State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 overall and will have revenge motive after blowing a 16-point lead versus the Tribe back in January and losing, 60-58.
Take the points with Georgia State as they stay within the number.
5 Dime –
SUNS
Lay the small number with the Suns tonight at home over the Jazz.
Even though Phoenix has struggled defensively, I can’t trust Utah in this spot.
The Jazz don’t have a defensive stopper to slow down Amare Stoudamire and forward Andrei Kirilenko is nursing a hip injury.
Utah has lost three of its last four road outings, including games to the lowly Timberwolves and Clippers by a combined 21 points.
If the Suns can jump on the Jazz early it could take the wind out of their sails.
Take the Suns minus the small number as they grab the home win and cover.
SPORT: National Basketball Assoc.
PICK: Washington Wizards
Offered at: 5 Sportsbook
REASON FOR PICK: Washington (+) over Toronto
To say the Wizards should come out with a purpose tonight would be an understatement. The last time they faced Toronto the Raptors pounded them 122-83 for the largest margin of victory in Toronto history. Chris Bosh played a major role in that win and he will once again be out of the lineup tonight. Not only do the Wizards have that embarrassing loss to remember, but they also know they laid a brick the last time they took the court. Washington is off a 122-92 pummeling at the hands of Orlando. But before that outing the Wizards had won 4 of their previous 5 games with the lone defeat coming against the red hot Houston Rockets. Despite the last meeting against the Raptors Washington has won 2 of the 3 meetings this season. With Toronto off an easy 25 point win in Miami we can see the host not as intense and the visitor. An outright underdog win would not surprise.
PLAY WASHINGTON
moneylockoftheday
Digger's pick
Bradley +1
Junior's pick
Waiting for Drake line to open
Hawker's pick
Heat/Warriors over 220.5
Matt Fargo
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Bobcats (NBA) - Mar 7, 2008 7:05 PM EST
Play: Total: 205/101 Under Pick Title:
These teams played just over three weeks ago and while that game did go over the total, it took overtime to do. More importantly however is how much the total has changed. It was set at 193.5 in that last meeting and now all of a sudden it is over 10 points higher than that. This adjustment is mostly due to the recent play of both teams but you need to look at who the competition was and that shows why the games ended up where they were.
Both teams played Golden St. this past week and we saw finishing scores of 253 and 227 and that no doubt has an effect on this number. The Warriors are going to try and run the opposition out of the gym and they were able to dictate the tempo in each of those games. Golden St. averages a league-high 89.1 field goal attempts per game. Both Charlotte and Atlanta are well below that average and both are actually in the bottom half of the league in field goal attempts.
The offenses of the Bobcats and Hawks average a combined 191.7 ppg on the season. And while the defenses are far from stout, they allow a combined 199.8 ppg. In home and road games, both of these averages come down even more so basing tonight’s total on recent play is the wrong way to go. In the three games played in Charlotte over the last two seasons, the posted totals have been 184.5, 195 and 193.5. The scores of those games have averaged 191.7 ppg.
On the season, Atlanta is 21st in the NBA in shooting offense, hitting 44.3 percent. Charlotte is not much better, coming in at 20th at 44.5 percent. Atlanta has been solid from the free throw line, hitting 77.4 percent but the Bobcats offset that as they are second to last in the league hitting only 71.1 percent from the stripe. The Hawks have thrived on defense against weaker opponents as 14 of their last 17 games against teams winning fewer than 40 percent of their games have gone under the total.
As mentioned, the number is shaded high because of recent games and we get a lot of value based on that. Play on the under where the total between 200 and 209.5 after two straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more going up against an opponent after a game where both teams scored 105 points or more. This situation is 39-11 to the under (78 percent) over the last five seasons including a 6-1 record (85.7 percent) this season. Play Under Atlanta Hawks/Charlotte Bobcats 1 Unit
Bobby O |
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03-07-2008, 01:14 PM
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#3 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 824
| I read as much info as possible but post them if you have time, Thanks Bobby |
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03-07-2008, 10:31 PM
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#4 (permalink)
| | Assistant Coach Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 214
| u payed for them?? |
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03-07-2008, 10:53 PM
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#5 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,650
| No I didn't pay for them, but I can get alot more than this if anyone is interested.
Bobby O |
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