Sunday NBA

[jtsneaks]

Dallas @ Detroit

I love how the NBA only has afternoon games stepping aside for the biggest game of the year and not only that but they offer what should be a good one in the NBA when Dallas heads to Motown. It’s hard to win in Detroit because players hate going to Detroit. Earlier this year Andrew Bogut of the Bucks said that they just wanted to go there and leave and basically tanked the game. Detroit is 16-4 at home and face the Mavericks who just lost to the Celtics at home another eastern powerhouse and the Mavericks have had troubles on the road.

I wanted to go to the lab and work and find some good trends with this game so lets start simple

Dallas has a road underdog is an amazing 142-100 and in the last three years that is still an outstanding 27-13 ATS (67%)! When they have 2 days rest in this spot the number jumps to 9-3 ATS(75%)! Those numbers are hard to ignore, but what about the Pistons? Back to the lab for these numbers.

Detroit is 101-94 ATS as a home favorite over the last four years. Detroit might be second in points allowed at 90.4 PPG; however this has seldom slowed the Mavs down, who are 10-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 91 or fewer points a game over the last two seasons. The Pistons have lost consecutive games to the Mavericks, including January's loss. Dallas shot 56.8 percent in the game and went 10-for-16 from 3-point range and Nowitzki had 23 points on 10-of-15 shooting. Detroit is 8-18 ATS in home games revenging a loss vs. opponent and is even worse at 2-12 against the spread if the opponent scored 100 or more points in that game.

Dallas +5

JT Sneaks

[DrPicker]

Im a big dallas fan and they have been extremely inconsistent. and they were again today. Im hoping they figure it out for the playoffs. One thing they have been consistent on is the under. They are really focusing on their defense and they are playing especially slow again slow paced teams. Im gonna look out for that.