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Old 06-01-2007, 07:03 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Well nothing like starting off the day with a loss. That’s the second game in a row I have had the under in a Braves game just to see it blow up with a 5 spot. My totals are hurting this year so far but I digress and look forward to tonight’s games. So what do I do when the totals are giving me troubles? Of course play another total.

Florida / Milwaukee Over 9 -105


The pens are awful of late for these two clubs with ERA’s of at least 5 and the brewers check in over 7. This plays a role in this game because the starters will not go deep with ERA’s over 5 in the last three for both of them. The Brewers hit .300 at home against southpaws.

Finally Kellogg behind the plate is an over umpire averaging over 11 runs a game and the over has hit 8 out of his last 11 he has worked. The over has hit 3 out of 4 with the fish and 1-0 with Olsen.

Over is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 5-0-1 in Olsen's last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Over is 5-1 in Olsen's last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1-1 in Olsen's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-1 in Olsen's last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Over is 16-5 in Olsen's last 21 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 6-2-2 in Olsen's last 10 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Over is 5-2-1 in Olsen's last 8 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 9-4-1 in Olsen's last 14 road starts.
Over is 9-4-2 in Olsen's last 15 starts as an underdog.
Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 Friday games.
Over is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 13-6-1 in Brewers last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 19-9-2 in Brewers last 30 games as a home favorite.
Over is 14-4-1 in the last 19 meetings in Milwaukee

Detroit +156

Tough to take this Tiger team when it seems like they are doing everything wrong and the tribe right but this is a good spot for them. If carmona has any trouble its at home at night where he has a huge ERA. The tribe won’t give him the run support because they struggle against left handers. When the Tigers do decide they want to play for someone its Maroth.
Tigers are 7-0 in Maroth's last 7 road starts.
Tigers are 5-0 in Maroth's last 5 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Tigers are 4-0 in Maroth's last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Tigers are 7-1 in Maroth's last 8 starts vs. American League Central.
Tigers are 5-1 in Maroth's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-1 in Maroth's last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-1 in Maroth's last 6 Friday starts.
Tigers are 14-3 in Maroth's last 17 starts during game 2 of a series.
Tigers are 4-1 in Maroth's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Tigers are 20-7 in Maroth's last 27 starts on Grass.
Tigers are 22-8 in Maroth's last 30 starts.
Tigers are 5-2 in Maroth's last 7 starts as an underdog.
Tigers are 20-8 in Maroth's last 28 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Tigers are 5-2 in Maroth's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 9-4 in Maroth's last 13 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.


Arizona -105

Get this line now! The mets lineup will be without some big hitters tonight to include Beltran who’s out with injuries. You can get a red hot team that has won seven straight and a great pitcher in Webb for -105? I am on it.

Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 games on Grass.
Diamondbacks are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

Yankees / Red Sox
Now I am a Red Sox fan and a die hard one at that, but this is the Yankees series and it starts right here. A-rod is under the microscope the boss is getting ready to fire everyone and even the Sox players seem “bored” to play the Yanks again. I am going to pass on this one because I am not quite ready to bet on the bad guys, but if had to I would play the Yanks.


JT Sneaks
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