Humpday Baseball

[jtsneaks]

AL




Play: Over 10 -120 Sox/ Tribe

Dice K will not shut this team out for 6 or 7 like Schilling and Beckett did in nights prior. I have a theory on pitchers that are 3-0 in the last starts that they are done to give up some runs and we have two pitchers in that spot tonight.

When CLEVELAND team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Before a conference game - Coming off a 2 game losing streak - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent the over is 10-4-1

When CLEVELAND team played as a Road team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - After a non division game - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 2 game losing streak the over is 12-4-2

The wind is huge here and blowing out to dead center and dice K has his highest ERA in Fenway so look for this to go over the total early.

Play: Tampa Bay -114

This to me is one I had circled all day and one of my favorites on the board. If not for the umpire with the good under numbers behind the plate I would have taken them on the run line too. The Rays have the much better starting pitcher behind the plate and Robertson has a WHIP over 2 which is a tell tale sign you should not be on that pitcher. If not that then look at the fact the Rays hit lefties much, much better than they do righties and if that’s not enough for you look at the horrible pen that will have to relieve Robertson and put a heaping of Shields on top. Rays win tonight.

When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Playing on Wednesday - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a night game - Coming off a 1 game win they are 5-15

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - After a non division game - During a night game - Coming off a Road win - Coming off 1 over they are 11-24

When TAMPA BAY team played as a Home team - Last 5 years - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 game loss - Scored 2 or more runs FOR in their last game they are 13-8


Play: Seattle +120

I rarely suggest a play on a team just because of one player, but King Felix is that good and will keep this team in it, why the line is raising and teams are jumping on the halos is beyond me. The M’s are still overall hitting the ball well. This one has pitching duel all over it with Montague behind the plate but I will stick with the side.

Play On
Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (SEATTLE)
average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL

35-20 over the last 5 seasons.
63.6% (24.4 units)

working NBA now


JT Sneaks