Monday Afternoon game

[jtsneaks]

Florida +152

Last afternoon games for me and I really like the looks of this one, granted the fish have lost 3 straight but the Cubs have not only lost 5 of the last seven but coming off a west coast trip that went to extra innings last night giving the fresh leg advantage to the fish. Marshall goes to the Hill for the Cubs and his numbers have been very nice of late but the fish feed off lefties. Not to mention that in his last appearance against the fish he gave up seven earned. They hit 19 points better against southpaws as they stand at .273 on the season. Betting on Kim may not seem like one of the safest bets you can make but since coming over from Colorado his numbers have drastically improved and the change of scenery has done him well.

The cubs have had trouble starting off a series going just 5-12 in game one of a series to include 3-7 after a loss.

When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Home team - Vs Conference Opponent - After a non division game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Allowed 2 runs or more AGAINST in their last game they are 11-21

When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a Home team - Coming off vs. National League opponent - During a day game - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series they are 4-11

Cubs are 23-48 in their last 71 vs. National League East.
Cubs are 19-41 in their last 60 during game 1 of a series.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 games on Grass.
Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
Cubs are 10-26 in their last 36 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Cubs are 7-20 in their last 27 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Cubs are 5-16 in their last 21 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games.
Cubs are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.


Play Against
Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS)
poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a one run loss

188-140 over the last 5 seasons.
57.3% (61.6 units)


JT Sneaks

[jtsneaks]

adding another couple here...

NY Yankees -140 & -1.5 +105

I am breaking two cardinal rules here going against a streak and taking some chalk. I am okay with it because I am having a good day and sold on the fact the Yankees are poised to score a lot tonight. By the way Kellogg is behind the plate and he is a huge over umpire 8-2 on the year. McGowan has been a bean bag all year and the Yankees have a chance to make a move because they are playing in the east and this starts the longest road trip of the year. Edwin Jackson in a must win spot and if it turns into a slugfest the Rays have the better pen.


When NY YANKEES team Played as Road team as a Favorite - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Total is between 10.5 to 11.0 - Coming off a day game - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher they are 20-5

When NY YANKEES team played as a Road team - After a non division game - Total is between 10.5 to 11.0 - Scored 3 or more runs FOR in their last game - Coming off a series loss they are 8-2

Tampa Bay +134

Be aware I am a big Tampa backer and it paid the bills against the White Sox and it will again today. The tigers are slumping and the pen is hurting without Z and so if Durbin does not go deep they will be in trouble and you can look for it. Great trend play too….

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - During a night game - Before a non division game - Coming off a Home loss - Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher they are 9-20

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series they are 7-21

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - Before a non division game - During a night game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Coming off a night game they are 6-17

When DETROIT team played as a Road team - During a night game - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series they are 4-16


Play Against
Road teams (DETROIT)
with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts

29-12 over the last 5 seasons.
70.7% (20.7 units)



JT Sneaks