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Old 05-02-2007, 08:22 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default wednesday bases

(33-10)(+20.26 units) favorite bets
(13-20)(-3.78 units) underdog bets

(46-30)(+16.48 units) overall



Went back with my small favorites on Tuesday and it worked again going 3-1, picking up 1.74 units. For Wednesday I have come up with only three plays and they are all favorites again. I usually find dogs out there, but for some reason this year I have not. It seems like the dogs that should cover are not, but you have your share of large dogs who you would think have no shot winning games. I have sort of layed off a lot of those games and have been trying to stick with my favs of -150 or less. If it is not broken, don’t try to fix it.



Pittsburgh -123 vs Cubs…………It is always scary taking the bucs as they seem to be on or off with no in betweens. Ian Snell is their best pitcher, but sometimes he does not get very good run support. At home this year, Snell is 1-1, with an era of 0.64. WOW! Overall Snell is 2-1 with an era of 1.59. On the other side you have the Cubs who have tried to buy a team this year and still are finding ways to lose games. I will gladly take Snell at home and only laying -123.

Atlanta -121 vs Philllies…………….As a philly fan, I hate going against my team, but you have to bet with your head and not your heart. We all know that but don’t always follow that. Even though Garcia is a big name pitcher for the phillies vs the braves Chris James, right now this matchup favors the braves in a big way in my opinion. Since coming off the disabled list, Garcia has given up 9 runs and 19 hits in only 14 innings of work. If my memory is correct, the phillies have struggled when facing James. The braves have also won all five of James starts, so they seem to hit well when he is on the mound. Chipper Jones appears to be hammering the ball again for the braves too. I am a little shocked the braves are only -121. Great value in my eyes on the braves in this one.

Milwaukee -135 vs St Louis………………Many people do not know about this brewer team yet. They have a lot of good players nobody knows about. I really think they are going to win their division this year. The cards are having all kinds of problems. Their pitching is hurting and they are not hitting the ball like we are used to seeing the potent lineup do. Big pitching advantage for the Brewcrew as well. Reyes is 0-4 while Capuano is 4-0. First vs last in the division as well. Brewers are are also 5-0 in Capuano’s starts. This line is too low. Cards getting too much respect bases on previous years additions. I love the under valued brewers vs the over rated cards in this one.


That is all for today. I am expecting to go 3-0 today, but I can live with 2-1. Anything worse than that I will be shocked.



Good Luck Everybody!!
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