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Old 09-27-2006, 11:41 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Wednesday's Free MLB Pick with Expert Analysis

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick by Matt Fargo of Vernon Croy Sports

MLB Los Angeles vs. Colorado

Take Los Angeles Dodgers


The Dodgers are in the heat of the playoff race and with wins in their last two games, they have a one-game lead in the wild card standings over the Phillies. Los Angeles took the first game of this series on Tuesday and it has now won 13 of the 17 meetings this season. The Dodgers send Derek Lowe to the mound who has been spectacular over his last two starts, allowing only one run in 14 innings combined. He has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts. The Rockies will be going with Aaron Cook who despite some successful outings this season, has not been getting the wins. Colorado is just 10-21 in his 31 starts this season including a 6-11 record in his 17 home outings. He has been hit or miss of late, allowing five or more runs in four of his last nine starts and he has dropped all three games against Los Angeles this season. He has posted a 6.50 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in those games and after scoring 11 runs on Tuesday, the Dodgers keep their hot hitting going tonight. Play against home teams with a starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing against opponent with a hot starting pitcher who has a WHIP of 1.10 or less over his last 10 games. This situation is 41-16 (71.9 percent) over the last 5 seasons while picking up 25.8 units over that stretch. The play on team has a +1.4 rpg differential over those 57 games. Play Ls Angeles Dodgers 1 Unit
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Old 09-27-2006, 11:47 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Same Side Free Pick by Larry Ness of Vernon Croy Sports

MLB Los Angeles vs. Colorado

Take Los Angeles Dodgers

LA trails the Padres by two games in the division, but also has a one-game lead over the Phillies for the wild card after Philadelphia lost to Washington 4-3 on Tuesday. Derek Lowe goes for LA as he tries to win his seventh straight decision when the Dodgers and Rockies meet in the second game of a three-game series on Wednesday. Since losing to the Rockies on Aug 9 to end the Dodgers' 11-game winning streak, Lowe (15-8, 3.57 ERA) is 6-0 with a 2.01 ERA in nine appearances, including eight starts. One of those wins came in relief in a 6-5 victory (16 innings) over Cincinnati on Aug 29. Aaron Cook (9-14, 4.11) will try again to reach double-digits in wins for the first time in his five-year career. He defeated San Diego on Aug 27, but has gone 0-2 with a 5.11 ERA in four starts since that win. He's 0-2 with a 6.50 ERA in three starts this season against the Dodgers, with Colorado losing all three of his outings. Let's make it 0-4! Take the Dodgers.
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Old 09-27-2006, 01:27 PM   #3 (permalink)
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I agree, I am a big fan of the dodgers tonight. Lowe has been pitching great and although Cook is solid, I feel like the dodgers will get the job done tonight.
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