Tuesday Baseball and Trends

[jtsneaks]

I wanted to cover some of my picks before adding the trends.

Detroit / Boston Over 9.5

These pitchers have been somewhat shaky to say the least in the last few starts and this small park will help with the balls flying out. Sox win big and pound Bonderman.



Reds +

Last time the Reds played the Birds Harang got hit often and early and needed the offense to bail him out. I am not sold on Carpenter and not sure if he is tired, hurt or just off his game but this price is too high.

JT Sneaks

[jtsneaks]

National League:

Atlanta at Washington, 7:05 EST
Lance Cormier (R) vs. Pedro Astacio (R)
Cormier: Atl 8-0 Over after scoring 7+ runs BB games
Astacio: Wash 4-12 at home off BB losses

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Randy Wolf (L)
Hernandez: NYM 8-0 revenging a loss as a road favorite
Wolf: Phi 13-4 Over at home after scoring 9+ runs

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST
Doug Davis (L) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (L)
Davis: 11-4 TSR vs. division opponents
Gorzelanny: Pit 7-0 Under off 3+ wins

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 EST
Juan Mateo (R) vs. Roger Clemens (R)
Mateo: CHC 14-4 Under Away on Tuesdays
Clemens: 9-0 Under as a home favorite of -250 to -330

Cincinnati at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Aaron Harang (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)
Harang: 7-1 TSR off a CIN win
Carpenter: 25-4 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest

Arizona at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Miguel Batista (R) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
Batista: 12-3 TSR as an underdog
Jennings: 18-3 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

San Francisco at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Matt Morris (R) vs. Chris Young (R)
Morris: SF 0-6 off a one run division win
Young: SD 10-1 Under in August

Florida at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Anibal Sanchez (R) vs. Chad Billingsley (R)
Sanchez: Fla 24-7 Over after scoring 2 runs or less
Billingsley: 3-0 TSR, 1.59 ERA L3 starts

American League:

Detroit at Boston, 7:05 EST
Jeremy Bonderman (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)
Bonderman: 7-0 TSR Away on Tuesday
Schilling: 36-15 Over when the total is 8.5 to 10

Baltimore at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
Erik Bedard (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Bedard: Bal 8-25 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Mussina: NYY 18-3 Under as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Jae Seo (R)
Halladay: 22-3 TSR in night games
Seo: TB 18-5 Over off 6+ losses

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Runelvys Hernandez (R) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)
Hernandez: KC 7-0 Over after a loss by 10+ runs
Vazquez: CHW 35-8 as a home favorite of -175 to -250

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Santana: 8-1 Over Away in night games
Padilla: Tex 15-3 Over at home after a day off

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Johan Santana (L)
Westbrook: Cle 8-0 Over after a win by 8+ runs
Santana: 12-0 TSR at home this season

Seattle at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Joel Pineiro (R) vs. Kirk Saarloos (R)
Pineiro: 3-17 TSR Away off a loss
Saarloos: Oak 13-1 vs. Seattle this season

[GPalmaT20]

I agree with you on the reds tonight. They are gonna bring their best and take it home with the odds.

[premiumplaya]

i also agree with the reds pick...st. louis is playing god awful and dont deserve to be favored -170, even with carpenter on the mound.

i hope the detroit tigers win in blowout fashion, that way you win your over and i win my game +130. good luck!!!

[premiumplaya]

i also agree with the reds pick...st. louis is playing god awful and dont deserve to be favored -170, even with carpenter on the mound.

i hope the detroit tigers win in blowout fashion, that way you win your over and i win my game +130. good luck!!!

ps. i love when you put up meaningful trends! its very helpful!