Monday MLB, trends, picks and stuff

[jtsneaks]

Monday, August 7th

National League:

St. Louis at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Jeff Weaver (R) vs. Elizardo Ramirez (R)
Weaver: 3-11 TSR this season
Ramirez: Cincinnati 32-14 Over on Mondays

(TC) Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Brett Myers (R) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)
Myers: Philadelphia 21-5 Under off a loss by 6+ runs
Ramirez: Atlanta 8-17 SU off a win by 2 runs or less

San Francisco at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Jason Schmidt (R) vs. Enrique Gonzalez (R)
Schmidt: 9-2 TSR in August
Gonzalez: Arizona 19-6 Over off a win by 2 runs or less

Colorado at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Josh Fogg (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)
Fogg: Colorado 7-22 SU off BB games scoring 2 runs or less
Penny: Dodgers 12-2 SU at home after winning BB games


American League:

Baltimore at Toronto, 1:05 EST
Russ Ortiz (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
Ortiz: Baltimore 0-7 SU off 5+ Unders
Lilly: Toronto 20-10 Over as a favorite of -150 or higher

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Francisco Liriano (L) vs. Zach Miner (R)
Liriano: 6-1 TSR in road games
Miner: Detroit 11-2 Under as an underdog of +125 to +175

Tampa Bay at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Tim Corcoran (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)
Corcoran: Tampa Bay 10-2 Under off a one-run win
Moyer: Seattle 2-8 SU as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Texas at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Edison Volquez (R) vs. Estaban Loaiza (R)
Volquez: Texas 11-1 Under after allowing 9+ runs
Loaiza: Oakland 14-6 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games


Write-In Game:

(TC) LA Angels at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 EST ESPN
Kelvim Escobar (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Escobar: 0-6 TSR pitching off BB wins
Buehrle: White Sox 9-0 SU vs. Escobar


JT

[jtsneaks]

My thoughts on : Detroit / Minnesota

Both teams are playing well of late and all year, the Tigers don't hit lefties as well as righties. The Twins are in revenge mode for a sweep and a loss that included when these two pitchers met, Twin backers have to be concerned about any injuries to Liriano.

I don't like this one Liriano was held out because of forarm stiffness and missed his last start, I don't see them starting him if he is not 100% and they will be looking close at his warmup.

If he warms up fine and everything goes good, we'll know he's all right," Gardenhire said. "Obviously, we'll take him out if he says anything is bothering him, but we don't anticipate that happening."

If you like him, make sure you mark listed in case of a late scratch.

I do like the over in this game, Liriano even if he starts should not go nine and they will watch him close and Minor will not be able to p[ut up the same performace he did last time. He has not won in his last four starts and is ERA is over 7, his era at home is over 6. The Tigers have been hitting well and Liriano is 1-2 with a 6.94 ERA in three appearances, including one start, against Detroit.

I like the twins but the over seems to be the better play. WInd is blowing out just waiting for some umpire numbers.

JT

[jtsneaks]

Best of the rest I am waiting on some umpires, but will post lineups here now

LA Angels
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
C. Figgins 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .255
H. Kendrick 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .326
O. Cabrera ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .288
V. Guerrero rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .313
J. Rivera cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .300
G. Anderson lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .278
T. Salmon dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .278
R. Quinlan 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .309
J. Molina c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Chi White Sox
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
S. Podsednik lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .267
T. Iguchi 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .283
J. Thome dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .301
P. Konerko 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .304
J. Dye rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .319
J. Crede 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .299
A. Cintron ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .280
S. Alomar Jr. c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .286
B. Anderson cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .217
Totals


St. Louis
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
R. Belliard 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .222
C. Duncan lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .285
A. Pujols 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .324
S. Rolen 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .316
J. Edmonds cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .263
J. Encarnacion rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .288
Y. Molina c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .213
A. Miles ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .266
J. Weaver p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Cincinnati
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
R. Freel rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .296
A. Dunn lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .255
K. Griffey Jr. cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .242
E. Encarnacion 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .287
S. Hatteberg 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .318
B. Phillips 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .296
J. Valentin c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .220
R. Clayton ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .263
E. Ramirez p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .160
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Minnesota
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
L. Castillo 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .286
N. Punto 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .308
J. Mauer c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .365
M. Cuddyer rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .270
J. Morneau 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .321
T. Hunter cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .280
J. Kubel dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .266
J. Tyner lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .326
J. Bartlett ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .377
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Detroit
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
P. Polanco 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .297
C. Monroe dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .271
I. Rodriguez 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .307
M. Ordonez rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .296
C. Guillen ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .306
M. Thames lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .272
B. Inge 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .245
C. Granderson cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .278
V. Wilson c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .284
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Philadelphia
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
J. Rollins ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .266
S. Victorino rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .267
C. Utley 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .330
R. Howard 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .291
P. Burrell lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .255
A. Rowand cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .256
M. Lieberthal c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .248
A. Nunez 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .159
B. Myers p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .024
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Atlanta
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
W. Aybar 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .253
M. Giles 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .267
E. Renteria ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .311
A. Jones cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .274
B. McCann c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .343
J. Francoeur rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .255
A. LaRoche 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .272
S. Thorman lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .241
H. Ramirez p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .125
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Final picks coming up for the late games..

JT

[jtsneaks]

Carlson BHP Minny/Detroit

HT: 13-7 O/U 11/9

+++++++++++++++++

Cooper in LAA / CWS

HT 9-13
O/U 12/9

+++++++++++++++++++++

Marty Foster Atl/Phi

HT: 12-10
O/U 12-9

+++++++++++++++++++++

Stl / Cin Larry Young

HT: 15-7
O/U 15/6


JT Sneaks

[jtsneaks]

Picks:

That over in Detroit is still in play, but it makes me nervous with recent line movement to O19, glad I got it flat.

Feel like a bandwagon jumper tonight but I am on the Twins. The Tigers have a better line up and giving them + money at home could be dangerous, but I have to go with Liriano here.

Twins -136

Reds -108

Like the home numbers on the umpire and this is a playoff game for the Reds to prove they can take a run at this diviison. Most playoff games go under but the park and the umpire will keep me off the total.

Angels & Under 10

M Buehrle -L has looked bad and Escobar has pitched well just no run support I figure worst case I am in line for a split. Glad it's on ESPN hate the White Sox announcer with a passion.



Passing on Phillies/Braves...both teams have cost me enough this year no need to add to it...


ope this info helped anyone and good luck tonight on the bases, may be back tonight woith late game info if I am around

JT Sneaks