[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/28/09 1-1-0 50.00% +265 Detail

Thursday, October 29Game Score Status Pick Amount

Philadelphia - 7:55 PM ET Philadelphia +189 500
NY Yankees - Over 9 500

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet


NOTE: If the "Long Sheet" is updated, we will re-post

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Thursday, October 29
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PHILADELPHIA (100 - 71) at NY YANKEES (110 - 61) - 7:55 PM
PEDRO MARTINEZ (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+2.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

PEDRO MARTINEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MARTINEZ is 12-13 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 14-23 (-21.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 21-15. (+4.0 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BURNETT is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 6-10 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-7. (+1.3 units)

[CNOTES]

MLB
Write-up


Thursday, October 29

Keep in mind team that won Game 1 is 11-1 in last 12 World Series, so ton of pressure on Burnett (0-0, 4.42 in three playoff starts this fall) to even series for Bronx. Bomber nemesis Martinez (seven shutout innings at LA in only '09 playoff start) gets nod for Philly; he is on down side of hill, but Pedro is also 6-3, 3.13 in 12 career playoff starts. Phillies are now 19-5 in last 24 playoff games. Would expect higher scoring game in this one, after last night's pitcher's duel. Wouldn't be surprised if Phils went to bullpen early and often, once hitters saw Pedro once or twice.

[CNOTES]

MLB


Thursday, October 29

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Trend Report
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7:57 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY YANKEES
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Yankees are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel Index


Philadelphia at NY Yankees
The Phillies look to follow up their Game One win and build on their 7-0 record in Pedro Martinez' last 7 starts with the run total set from 9 to 10 1/2. Philadelphia is the pick (+175) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+175). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 29

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 16.990; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.451
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+175); Under

[CNOTES]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, October 29th

World Series
Best of Seven
Game Two
Phillies Lead, 1-0
TV: FOX
Philadelphia at NY Yankees, 7:55 ET
Pedro Martinez (R) vs. AJ Burnett (R)

Martinez:
PHI 25-19 as an underdog
PHI 19-5 in playoff games

Burnett:
13-5 Under in home starts
NYY 18-5 Under in Game 2's

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet


UPDATED

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Thursday, October 29
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PHILADELPHIA (101 - 71) at NY YANKEES (110 - 62) - 7:55 PM
PEDRO MARTINEZ (R) vs. A.J. BURNETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 62-25 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 74-38 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 61-35 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-4 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 110-62 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 55-27 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 62-25 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 56-22 (+18.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-21 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-37 (+7.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-38 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 101-71 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-34 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 98-68 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-52 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+3.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

PEDRO MARTINEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MARTINEZ is 12-13 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 14-23 (-21.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 21-15. (+4.0 units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BURNETT is 5-8 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 6-10 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-7. (+1.3 units)

[CNOTES]

MLB


Thursday, October 29

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees (-191, 9)

Pitching matchup

Pedro Martinez (Philadelphia Phillies) vs. A.J. Burnett (New York Yankees)

Pedro Martinez (5-1, 3.63 ERA)

Martinez was part of the 2004 Boston Red Sox rotation that completed the historic comeback against the Yankees in the ALCS then went on to sweep the St. Louis Cardinals, with Martinez picking up a win in Game 3. He pitched seven shutout innings, allowing just three hits while striking out six batters.

This season, the Phillies blew the dust of the veteran righty for the final chunk of the regular season and playoffs. Martinez surprised even his team by returning to his Cy Young winning form. In the postseason, he again put up a seven inning shutout gem, but was let down by the Phillies bullpen in a 2-1 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 2 of the NLCS.

Against the Yankees, Pedro is 1-2 with a 4.71 ERA in six career playoff starts. For his career, he’s 11-11 with a 3.20 ERA in 32 total starts versus New York and should be the target of plenty a Bronx Cheer Thursday night.

A.J. Burnett (13-9, 4.04 ERA)

Burnett was a member of the Florida Marlins World Series team in 2003, however, he pitched only four games all season before undergoing surgery. He finally got a taste of the postseason this year and is 0-0 with a 4.42 ERA in three trips to the mound. His most recent start lasted just over six innings in which the right-hander allowed four runs in the opening frame, then was untouchable through five innings until surrendering two runs in the seventh.

Burnett has struggled with his stuff this postseason. He’s walked a total of eight batters over those three starts and has watched his pitch counts climb to an average of just under 100 pitches per game despite lasting a little over six innings per start.

In his last appearance against the Phillies, Burnett was hit hard for three home runs and five runs over six innings in a 7-3 loss in May. For his career, he is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA in 16 starts against Philadelphia. Burnett was 5-3 with a 3.38 ERA at new Yankee Stadium this season.

Hitting

In Game 1, Phillies second baseman Chase Utley showed bettors who the real power team was with two home runs in his team’s 6-1 victory. Utley is hitting .324 with three home runs and four RBIs. Also getting to the Yankees staff in the World Series opener was Ryan Howard (two hits) and Raul Ibanez, who had two RBIs off one hit.

New York was stymied by Philadelphia starter Cliff Lee, who limited the Bronx Bombers to just six hits and an unearned run in nine innings while striking out 10 batters. Getting knocks for the Yankees was Derek Jeter, who had three hits and scored the team’s lone run. October hero Alex Rodriguez was 0-for-4 with three strikeouts, giving the New York media some front-page fodder. Rodriguez seemed to have snapped out of his postseason funk before Game 1 and is still hitting .389 in the playoffs. Another bad performance would have the wolves at A-Rod’s door – again.

Weather

The Game 2 forecast is calling for partially cloudy skies over the Big Apple with a 20 percent chance of rain and temperatures dipping into the mid-50s. There is a light breeze blowing in from left field at 5 mph.

Pick: Over 9

[CNOTES]

Saturday, October 31Game Score Status Pick Amount

NY Yankees - 7:57 PM ET Philadelphia +109 500 *****
Philadelphia - Under 9 500

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel Index


NY Yankees at Philadelphia
The Yankees look to build on their 8-1 record in Andy Pettitte's last 9 starts as a favorite. New York is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 31

Game 955-956: NY Yankees at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.790; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.652
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over