| MLB Betting Discuss MLB Handicapping, betting, get free MLB picks and post your plays on Major League Baseball. |
06-08-2009, 05:11 PM
|
#21 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,392
|
premium,we should have fade cards instead.hope you get 10 units winner tomorrow
__________________
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. ~Author Unknown
|
| |
06-08-2009, 05:51 PM
|
#22 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster
Join Date: Dec 2008 Location: Owensboro, KY
Posts: 1,331
|
what happened to 75% winners. must be a flaw in the system. gl in the future.
|
| |
06-09-2009, 06:10 PM
|
#23 (permalink)
| | Red Shirt
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 76
|
Originally Posted by Nikalibobwa what happened to 75% winners. must be a flaw in the system. gl in the future. | That will be answered August 31st. It will hit at "near 70%" which is 69.8% or so with what I have remaining for sides. Its early my friend.
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday: 1-2, -13.20 units
Current standing: -24.4 units
Units remaining: 224.4
JUNE 9th
$500 Seattle +120
Give me Vargas over Bergeson in this ballpark. This is a re-match from last week where Seattle hung on to win 3-2. Vargas has allowed just 7 ERs on the season in 5 starts. Included in that just 3 ERs in 2 road starts this season. Opponents are averaging less than 3 runs per game in Vargas starts. Baltimore has struggled for runs and wins. They are a likely small home fave here, but do not warrant a play. They have struggled. Bergeson has pitched decent. He has a 4.60 ERA at home and has allowed 15 ERs in his last 5 home starts. The total is set at a 9 and up to 9.5, so I assume oddsmakers feel for one starter to get tagged especially after a 3-2 contest last week. Look for Seattle to open this one up at some point and win it by a couple.
$300 LAA/TB UNDER 8
With Shields and Weaver as the starters tonight, I expect minimal scoring in this one. Especially since Shields has pretty much dominated LA at home over the course of his last several starts. LA has managed just a handful of runs in Tampa off Shields and relief so look for LA to struggle tonight. Weaver has allowed just 1 ER in 5 of his last 6 starts in total, 2 of those coming on the road out of 3 games. This one should see 5-6 in total tonight.
|
| |
06-10-2009, 06:42 AM
|
#24 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster
Join Date: Dec 2008 Location: Owensboro, KY
Posts: 1,331
|
keep up that confidence. i'd like to see ya get there. however you have a big hole to dig out of now. i wish you the best.
|
| |
06-10-2009, 01:29 PM
|
#25 (permalink)
| | HOF Poster
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,392
|
same here, platinum. hope you'll get your goal. but for now, il just wish you the best of luck
__________________
Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise. ~Author Unknown
|
| |
06-10-2009, 03:10 PM
|
#26 (permalink)
| | Red Shirt
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 76
|
Originally Posted by Nikalibobwa keep up that confidence. i'd like to see ya get there. however you have a big hole to dig out of now. i wish you the best. |
Originally Posted by manong36 same here, platinum. hope you'll get your goal. but for now, il just wish you the best of luck | Thanks guys, appreciate the positive feedback. Like I stated in the first post, follow until you are comfortable and confident in what I am bringing to the table. Eventually things will turn around in a major way. Until then...
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday: 1-1, -2 units
Current standing: -26.4 units
Units remaining: 226.4
JUNE 10th
$300 NY/Bos OVER 11
The Yanks have failed to get runs on the board vs. Boston this year(45-23 in favor of Bos). Look for the Yanks to finally get runs on the board as this one shapes up to be an ugly one. Wang will face the Sox for the first time in over a year. In his last meeting he allowed 8 ERs as the Yanks won 15-9. Focusing in on Wangs last 10 starts, he has only 2 quality outings. He is not the same guy from the last couple seasons. A total of 51 ERs in those 8 non-quality ones. Wang is in a bad place and after jnot even 12 innings pitched in 4 starts this year, the Sox should have no problem chasing him early. Wake has been shaky vs. NY in the past and in his last 3 starts this year. Look for a bundle in this one tonight as one of these teams should reach double digits alone.
$200 ChC/Hou UNDER 8.5
This is without a doubt a should be winner tonight as Zambrano faces Wandy Rod in Houston. Big Z has put a hurting on opponents this season, as he has only allowed 10 ERs in his last 5 on the road. In Houston he is averaging 7 innings per game over his last 5 there, and just 12 ERs. In early April he allowed just 1 ER over 6 innings in Houston. Wandy can hurl too, especially when the Cubbies pay a visit. In his most recent 3 starts vs. Chicago at home, he allowed 1 ER in each, with the Cubs managing 4 total runs. Wandy has gone under in 6 of his last 8 vs. Chi and at home 5-0 under last 5 mtgs. Big Z is 8-2 to the under last 10 vs. Hou, and 4-1 under last 5 in Houston. Should see 5 runs max.
|
| |
06-11-2009, 01:55 PM
|
#27 (permalink)
| | Red Shirt
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 76
|
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday: 1-0-1, +2 units
Current standing: -24.4 units
Units remaining: 224.4
JUNE 11th
$1000 Milwaukee -175
The Rockies will only win this one with a great outing by Cook. The Rocks are 1-4 when Cook allows 3 ERs or more on the road this season and 0-5 when he allows 4+ runs in a game. Cook has not rebounded after an impressive start. Recently, he allowed 4 ERs in 2 games following a 1ER performance and a 0 ER outing. His last start he allowed just 1 ER, so look for this pattern to continue. Brew have managed 4 runs in each of Cooks last 2 out there. Gallardo will oppose, and he has been a home workhorse this season. He is 3-1 at home with a 2.87 ERA. He has only allowed 26 ERs in his last 26+ innings at home. He did allow 11 ERs in Colorado in 2007, but has upped his game since then. Brew by at least a couple, 4-2.
$1000 Texas -155
The Jays came into this series just 11-17 on road, and after 2 wins in Texas they will hit a wall in Millwood tonight. Millwood has dominated at home as a Texas starter, which is surprising considering runs are put up there. Millwood has not faced the Jays in a home game since 2005. Earlier this year he allowed 4 ERs in 7 inngs on the road. He is 3-1(2.59) at home this season. A steady diet of 2 ERs allowed in 4 of his last 5 at home. Look for that to continue. He has averaged roughly 7 inngs per start at home. Texas is also 3-1 at home last 4 games Mill has started. Romero should not be too much of an issue as he has struggled recently allowing 5 ERs in 2 of his last 3 starts. Texas will outscore Jays and have the new and improved bullpen that will seal the deal!
$200 SF/Arizona OVER 9
Here is my take on this one: Sanchez has allowed 21 ERs last 5 on road. Only 1 of those 4 were quality outings. His last 3 in Arizona he allowed 12 ERs. This season 6 ERs in Arizona. He is coming off of a 0 ER performance vs. D-Backs so look for a letdown start here, as there is alot of weight on this total based on that last start. Scherzer will go for Zona, and he too has struggled. He allowed 1 ER in SF but at home this year allowed 4 ERs. He has allowed 18 ERs in his last 4 at home, and opponents have totaled 27 runs in those 4 games. The over is 8-2 in Zonas last 10 at home, and they have gone over in 6 straight. Starters have not been cutting it lately and the bullpen has not done much better. This one should see 11 runs.
|
| |
06-12-2009, 04:43 PM
|
#28 (permalink)
| | Red Shirt
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 76
|
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday: 1-2, -9.7 units
Current standing: -34.1 units
Units remaining: 234.1
June 12th
$1000 Milwaukee -140
These 10 unit selections are just 3-3 over the last 6, and I am banking on a live one here with the Brew to take care of the slumping Sox. The Brewers got shafted at home by MLBs hottest team currently, the Rockies. They will bounce-back today at home and Jeff Suppan is due for a strong outing. Sox are just 3-8 in their last 11 games and have been outscored almost by a 5-3 margin over that span. They also have not followed a win since early this month. Both pens are pretty evenly matched, but as far as starters go, it is Suppan with the better ERA. Richard has struggled along with the Sox in their slump. He didnt even get to complete the 5th inning in his last outing. Look for this to have an effect on tonights game as that type of performance wont cut it!
$500 Yankees -215
The Yanks couldnt ask for a better match-up for tonight after losing an 8th straight vs. Boston this year. The Mets were stomped on late last night and that will continue this evening. The Yankees will bounce back after the loss to the Sox, especially after letting last nights game get away. Livan Hernandez is what the Yanks doctor ordered for tonight as he has allowed 12 ERs in his last 2 outings vs. NY. I expect Tex, and A-Rod to have a field day against him. Since May 8th, the Yankees are 9-0 in games after a loss, not including Boston series. Yanks will win tonight as Joba will cruise in his first mtg with Mets. Mets have managed just 44 runs total in their last 4 series, 12 games. That is less than 4 RPG and they will need more than 1.5 times that to win tonight. Just dont see it!
$300 Philly +115/Under 9.5
Joe Blanton does not mind facing Boston and should in fact pitch well tonight. Lester goes for Boston and he also has had success in Philly. Lester has not had much success on the road this season though so keep an eye on that. I look for Philly to put up a few this time vs. Lester as he shut them out last season. Blanton has allowed just 8 ERs in his last 3 vs. Boston, and has looked sharp most recently. Blanton has only allowed 4 ERs in his last 3 starts and looks like a streaking pitcher to keep an eye on. I see both starters having good outings keeping this one under the total. Phills are coming off an emotional high after their big win in extras last night. Sox have only scored 5 runs in their 2 gms after finishing with the Yanks. Philly wins, 4-3.
$100 LAD/Texas Under 10
Padilla has struggled at times this season but has also looked sharp in several games recently. Over his last 6 outings he has only had one real bad one(at NYY). Besides that game he has allowed 9 ERs in the other 5. Out of those 5 games, 4 of them have gone under. I expect the Dodgers to get a few runs, maybe 4 off Padilla. Kuroda is the bigger story in this game. He has been stunning in his return after missing a good 2 months. He looks like he has not lost anything and is back to form. Since his return, he allowed 2 ERs, both at home. He has not pitched on the road since early April, but I still feel he will give innings and allow limited run scoring. All 3 of his outings went under this season. Tonight I would expect some offense but the pens and starters keep this one under 10 runs.
$100 Oakland/San Fran Under 7
The final of a 6 play evening capped off with Mazzaro and Lincecum, which should be a dandy. Vin Mazzaro has yet to allow a run and has held opponents to a limited amount of hits. Usually you see new faces pitch well in the third game after the first two were golden outings. This is another one of those situations. Lincecum did not allow a run last season in Oakland and after looking shaky early in the season has settled in nicely, only allowing 5 ERs over his last 4 outings. He is catching fire and should keep this one under along with Mazzaro. Look for 4-5 in this contest.
|
| |
06-13-2009, 07:03 AM
|
#29 (permalink)
| | Red Shirt
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 76
|
End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday MLB: 5-1, +17.0 units
Current standing: -17.1 units
Units remaining: 217.1
Keeping it small for Saturday...
JUNE 13th
$200 SD/LAA OVER 8
Most confident of the three totals tonight as Saunders faces Josh Geer at home. These teams put up 17 last night and they will not close the book on run scoring in this series just yet. No pitchers batting which leaves room for the DHs in this one which youd assume there will be less GIDPs and Ks by the DH taking the pitchers spot in the AL park. Saunders has a 6.50 ERA over his last 3 starts and is due for a strong one. Geer is the big part in this over and it will win if he pitches like he has all season. He has allowed 11 ERs at home in 4 starts in a hitter friendly park. On the road, worse, as he has allowed 15 ERs in 4 outings and opponents have scored 33 in those games. LA will get on the board early and often, sealing this one midway through.
$100 ChW/Mil Over 9.5
The Brewers cruised past the Sox last night and I see them cruising for a second consecutive night against Contreras. Jose Contreras will start today and battle Manny Parra. The Brewers have only won 3 of Parras last 10 starts. On the otherhand, the Sox won for the first time with Contreras on the mound in his last 9 starts. Contreras looked strong at home vs. Detroit, but he is on the road today where he has allowed 17 ERs in just 3 starts this year. Opponents have scored 28 runs total in those 3 games. Milwaukee should hit well, and carry this over on their backs. Sox should be able to get 3-4 of their own in addition.
$100 LAD/Tex Under 10.5
The Rangers have gotten strong starting most of the year at home and it is a major reason why this team is amongst the best in the AL. Feldman will try to follow up a brilliant outing by Padilla last night. Going right back to an under here as both Wolf and Feldman have been successful in 09. Wolf has a 2.58 ERA on the road, and Feldman has only allowed 10 ERs in his last 5 at home. With that being said, the bullpens should put together a similar performance like last night and keep this one under 10.5 runs.
|
| |
06-13-2009, 08:25 AM
|
#30 (permalink)
| | Starter
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 121
| BOL! ThePlatinumStandard Thanks for posting!
Last edited by JIMBOJPC; 06-13-2009 at 08:28 AM.
|
| | | Thread Tools | | | | Display Modes | Linear Mode |
Posting Rules
| You may not post new threads You may not post replies You may not post attachments You may not edit your posts HTML code is On | | | | |