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Old 06-05-2009, 05:11 PM   #11 (permalink)
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thanks for sharing your picks and units. il be tailing some of your picks for sure. premium.gl
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Old 06-05-2009, 10:00 PM   #12 (permalink)
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GL tonight Platinum
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Old 06-05-2009, 10:24 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Had the Tigers -1 as well...Verl looked very solid but what a game by Santana on the other side. Got out of plenty of jams to get the W.

Solid call on Tor...Greinke's struggles at Rogers continued.
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Old 06-06-2009, 08:43 AM   #14 (permalink)
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thats a killer dropping a 10 unit play at -170. amazing that you were still able to pull out a profit after dropping that first game. congrats on that.
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Old 06-06-2009, 02:01 PM   #15 (permalink)
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End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 4-3, +3.05 units

Current standing: 4.5 units
Units remaining: 195.5

JUNE 6th

$500 Cleveland/Chisox Over 9.5
Sowers has struggled mightily on the road and previously against the Chisox making this a good play for the over this afternoon. Sowers has a 12.60 ERA on the road this year, allowed 20 ER's in his last 4 road starts, and 18 ERs in his last 4 vs. Chicago. His last 3 of 4 outings vs. Sox were brutal, and I am banking that he will struggle again today. Floyd has started to pitch well but his last 3 vs. Cleveland have gone over the total. This is a rematch from a 9-7 game last season these starters were involved in. Between the starters and bullpens this one should reach double digits today.

$200 Seattle/Minnesota Over 7.5(Bookmaker)
Blackburn and Washburn have both pitched well recently. Both these teams are capable of hitting, and after a low output last night, I expect this one to reach 9 runs in the least. It is very do-able. Each starter should give up 3 a piece, setting up for a few late runs by either one or both clubs. The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Seattle.

$200 Mets/Washington Over 9
Even though the Nats are dead even just about with overs/unders on the season it is really taking a risk playing under the total. Even though both Maine and Lannan have shined at times vs. these line-ups they also have been struggling in this spot. Maine has struggled on the road this year and opponents are averaging 5 runs per game over his last 5 on road. Lannan has struggled in 2 of his last 3 vs. NY allowing 5 ERs in the 2 bad outings. He has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of his last 6 vs. NY. The Nats had a strong showing by their bullpen up until the 10th last night and I feel it won't go so smoothly tonight.

$200 Colorado/St. Louis Under 8.5
All signs point to an over in this one with Cook and Wellemeyer slated to start. Usually when a total looks to good to be true it is. The public will jump on the over with this low total but I feel it has a shot at the under tonight. I would assume Cook will go 6 or 7 and Wellemeyer at least 5. Here are some interesting trends that have formed for this games situation tonight. Under is 11-5-1 last 17 mtgs in STL. In Cards last 11 home gms under is 9-2. Wellemeyer is surprisingly 4-0 to the under in his last 4 as fave. Rocks are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a dog.
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Old 06-06-2009, 03:41 PM   #16 (permalink)
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BOL Platinum...going to be on that ChiSox over as a streak fade.
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Old 06-07-2009, 09:01 AM   #17 (permalink)
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End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 0-4, -12.1 units

Current standing: -8.4 units
Units remaining: 208.4

Funny how I was on the losing end of all 4, with every starter having his best worst outing vs. opponent.
Sowers and Floyd pitched career bests vs. opponents.
Blackburn and Washburn did the same.
Maine had his career wordt vs. Wsh, but Lannan had his best start ever in his career still costing me an over.
Lastly, the Rockies have Cook pitch his best vs. STL while Wellemeyer pitched his worst and count em, on 3 occasions the Rockies homered with 2 outs in that one.

Need to bounce back big today but I am keeping it light.

JUNE 7th

$300 Col/StL UNDER 8.5
After Colorado has had an output of massive run support, I feel as though today they will be stifled by one Joel Pineiro. Pineiro has shut the door on many teams this season at home with a 2.05 ERA there. He did allow 3 in Colorado last year but has not faced them at home this year. Pineiro has gone 30 innings+ over his last 4 home starts allowing just 7 ERs. He is coming off a not so good performance so look for the bounceback here. Jiminez counters for Colorado who has somehow gotten the good pitching needed to win games. Jiminez faced the Cards twice last year allowing 6 ERs over 10 innings. He should keep STL limited while Pineiro does the rest to get the Cards on the board for an under in this series.

$250 TB/NYY UNDER 9.5
We find Garza meeting Joba C. today in the early of the 3 picks. Joba has never faced TB but as the season has gone on he looks more and more comfortable. In the home start vs. Cle back in April he allowed 5 in less than 5. His next he went over 5 allowing just 4 and his most recent start of quality was a 6 inning, 2 ER outing before leaving his last home start in the 1st inning. Even with the bugs and birds in Cleveland, in his last start, he pitched 8 innings allowing 2. Garza did shut the door on the Yanks this season in a 7 inning, 2 ER performance so look for him to help keep this one under. Surprisingly the Rays have gone 6-0-1 under vs. a righty with a WHIP of 1.30+. Scott Barry will ump the plate today and 20 of his last 28 behind plate have gone under.

$200 San Diego +150
The thing I like about this one is that the Pads come off the win last night and send Josh Geer to the hill to face Danny Haren. Pads have taken the last 7 of 10 meetings between these clubs. Geer is only averaging 2 ERs on home field in his last 5 home starts. He is fighting to stay in the rotation as he has come on in relief a couple times this season. Look for him to have a good performance against an Arizona team in the - money on the year, and a team struggling for run support. Haren would need to pitch better than he has previously against SD to get his team the W. Haren also is averaging 2 ERs allowed over his last 5 but has not gotten support from his pen as opponents have finished with 4 runs on average in those 5 games. Especially his last 2 outings, 15 total runs allowed. Pads by 1.
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Old 06-07-2009, 09:55 AM   #18 (permalink)
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preminum...I know what's your purpose here
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Old 06-07-2009, 09:55 AM   #19 (permalink)
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Pls don't play psychologically w/ the gamblers
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Old 06-08-2009, 12:42 PM   #20 (permalink)
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End date/deadline: 8/31/09

The Standard: 200 units by the deadline

Yesterday: 1-2, -2.8 units

Current standing: -11.2 units
Units remaining: 211.2


June 8th

$1000 (10units)St. Louis -120
$100 (ONLY 1 UNIT)Colorado/St. Louis UNDER 9
The Cardinals have looked as bad as they could have over the last few gms vs. Col. Gm 1 was a blowout, and gms 2-3 were shaping up to be good until late inning rallies in both by Colorado. Today needs to be a different story for St. Louis. They will head to the road after today and I feel they will pick up the final home win this afternoon. Thompson could be the very best that Colorado will have faced in this series. He did not allow a run in nearly 7 innings last season vs. Col, in a 3-0 win. He has only made 1 start this year and allowed 2 ERs over 5 inngs. Marquis has had rough spots vs. STL. In his recent 3 starts he allowed 5,1,6,and 3. Look for the Cards to get some runs up today as Colorado will struggle to score in a game that should see 7 runs max.

$200 Arz/SD UNDER 7.5
After yesterdays two game play and over 6 hours, look for these teams to be completely drained tonight in the finale of this 4 game series. Tonight, Garland will face Peavy, and look for both starters to take advantage. Garland shutout SD over 7 innings this season in Petco. He has only allowed 7 ERs in his most recent 5 outings on the road. Peavy has dominated Arizona in the past, allowing only 2 ERs in each of his last 3 vs. Arz at home and 7 ERs in his last 5 home starts against them. He started to look sharp in his 3 previous home starts up until the Phillies game where he allowed 4 ERs. Look for him to bounce back and for both starters to be at their best as they could be playing for a near future new contract. Zona 2-1.

$300 Detroit/Chisox UNDER 10 GAME 2 (Only if game 1 goes over 9.5)
This play is something I base off of a double header result in game 1. Game 2 is slated to be Bonderman vs. Contreras. If game 1 goes over the total of 9.5, then we will have a play on the under in game 2 which is currently set at 10 runs. That number may change by the time we can have the criteria for a play on game 2 or not, so this game 2 will be graded by the closing line at a majority of sportsbooks. Bonderman makes his first start in over a year and has hit unders in his last 4 in Chicago. Contreras should keep the run scoring low enough for the bullpen session late in this one. Sox pen has been pretty dominant of late and I see that continuing in this series. Play under only if game 1 goes over 9.5 runs.
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