Last Week Total:15-10-1, +6.02
Monday 2-1, +.90
Tuesday: 4-2, +4.05
Wednesday: 5-1, +4.45
Thursday: 2-1, +1.43
Overall this week: 13-5, +10.83
Another winning day and the beat keeps going, here are tonight's plays--
Sf +165
I just don't get this line and maybe I am a sucker but I will take Zito. The Giants are playing well lately and the Reds are not, worth a shot here.
Play Against
All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CINCINNATI)
with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts79-67 over the last 5 seasons.
54.1% (41.7 units)
Zito: 6-0 TSR AWAY after a team win
Volquez: CIN 10-16 at home in the second half
Seattle +103
Feel like I am lining up for another sucker play here but Fernandez at this price has to be worth a look. Seattle is bad but they have a decent lineup. Hernandez: 11-2 TSR as an underdog Sowers: CLE 15-27 at home with a money line of -100 to -125 Going against the hottest team in baseball is tough but I will try it here.
Sox/Sox over 9
These two teams are averaging over 15 runs of support per game and the bullpens have ERA's over 5 in the last three starts and this will equal some high scoring in Fenway tonight!
Toronto +113
Back with the Jays after losing last night with them. Burnett at this money against Pavano is worth a look. Burnett has given up 5 ER in his last five starts against the Yankees.
Play On
Road teams (TORONTO)
allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games
80-52 over the last 5 seasons.
60.6% (34.1 units)
Washington +140
The Nats are hot and hitting the ball and the Braves are road favorites? That's just spooky enough to take the Braves but I won't the hot hitting Nats will get it done.
Play Against
Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (ATLANTA)
with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 10 games
50-29 over the last 5 seasons.
63.3% (28.0 units)
JT

Sneaks