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Old 01-31-2006, 03:45 PM   #1 (permalink)
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17-6 so far after a disappointing 3-3 record monday. Gonna make the last day of January a good one..... a profitable one......attaining my goal of +20 units..... 1 unit = 100....etc..etc...for those who didn't know. Also I am a strong advocate of buying points whenever possible ...I am not in this just to see if I can beat the linesmaker....I do this because I don't want to work anymore..... and if I can get a leg up by buying off of a hook etc.....then I am going to do it ....with that being said; A few real good games I see today.


519: Pittsburgh 17-1 SU 7-6 ATS 3-2 ATSA
520: Connecticut 18-1 SU 9-5 ATS 5-4 ATSH
Tuesday, Jan. 31 Storrs, Connecticut
@ Gampel Pavilion 7:30 PM

Tonight's game features the Huskies of the University of Connecticut against the Panthers of the University of Pittsburgh. UConn enters the game with a record of 18-1 on the season and 6-1 in the Big East. The Huskies come off a 76-62 win at Providence Saturday and are the nation’s No. 1 ranked team in this week’s National Top 25. Pittsburgh is 17-
1 overall and also 6-1 in the Big East. Pitt is on a two-game win streak after defeating then #25 Syracuse 80-67 and Marquette 77-71 both at home, and are the No. 9 ranked team in this week's National Top 25.

Both teams split the series last year each winning on the road.
01/22/2005 Sat Pittsburgh 76 Connecticut 66 -7.5 Home Line
02/26/2005 Sat Connecticut 73 Pittsburgh 64 -2 Home Line

UConn opens up as an 8 point home favorite: recently UConn as a favorite are 9-5, & as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points are 1-0, when the total is 140 to 149.5 4-3, in a home game where the total is 140 to 144.5 0-1, off a win against a conference rival 4-1. UConn has a record of 100-15 in Gampel Pavilion, 46-4 against non-conference opponents and 54-11 vs. Big East competition. This marks the sixth time that the Huskies have held the top position in the national Top 25. The Huskies have played 36 games in their history as the No. 1 team in the nation, compiling a 31-5 record in those contests.


Pitt vs Conference 6-1 SU 3-4 ATS 2-1 ATSA
UConn vs Conference 6-1 SU 5-2 ATS 2-1 ATSH


Connecticut is 5-1-0 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 4-2-0 ATS in its last 6 home games against Pittsburgh
Connecticut is 2-4-0 ATS in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-4-0 ATS in its last 6 away games against Connecticut
Pittsburgh is 4-2-0 ATS in its last 6 games against Connecticut

Pitt recently: as an underdog 2-0; (10-3 the last 3 years), when the total is 140 to 149.5 0-1, off a win against a conference rival 2-3, against conference opponents 3-4.
Pitt plays a No. 1 ranked team for the 13th time in school history. Pitt is 0-12 all-time vs. the No. 1 ranked team. Also, Pitt plays a No. 1 ranked team for the first time since Jan. 16, 1999.
Pitt plays its fourth nationally ranked team this year. Pitt is 3-0 vs. nationally ranked teams as it has defeated No. 24 Wisconsin, No. 10 Louisville and No. 25 Syracuse.
Pitt enters the game after winning six of its last seven road games. It is 4-1 on the road this year.

Connecticut most recently:
after a win are 9-1, before playing Georgetown are 3-5, when playing on Tuesday are 9-1.
Pittsburgh most recently:
after a win are 9-1, after playing Providence are 5-3, before playing Indiana are 1-0, when playing on Tuesday are 9-1.

Pitt Off. Away 63.2 (161) UConn Def. Home 59.9 (48)
UConn Off. Home 83.4 (15) Pitt Def. Away 58.2 (8)

UConn Last 5
75.0 PF 48.5 FG% 40.0 TRB
63.4 PA 36.7 FG% 35.6 TRB
Pitt Last 5
68.8 PF 40.1 FG% 40.8 TRB
63.6 PA 40.5 FG% 35.0 TRB

UConn is ranked #2 in Def FG% allowing 36.7%.
UConn leads the league in rebounds at 40.8.

Pitt gives up the lowest FT% in the league allowing 61.5% per game.
Pitt is ranked #17 in Def FG% allowing 39.3%

Even with UConn's home record and the strength of their team as a whole, 8 points is a lot to lay against a damn good Pittsburgh team, who plays pretty tough on the road, and will be looking to extend their winning streak, as well as, knocking off the #1 team in the nation, they have already jumped three spots in the poll, and will be shooting for more. I look for Pitt to play UConn tough, as most times I think league games tend to be closer than other matchups....just my opinion, no factual basis.....I am taking the points with the Panthers.

Pittsburgh +9 buying one point - 2 units

521: Nebraska 13-6 SU 4-9 ATS 1-4 ATSA
522: Oklahoma State 12-8 SU 7-9 ATS 4-4 ATSH

Tuesday, January 31, 2006
8:00 PM
Gallagher-Iba Arena

Oklahoma State is 1-5-0 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 5-10-0 ATS in its last 15 home games
Oklahoma State most recently...
After a loss are 6-3
After playing Texas Tech are 6-4
Before playing Kansas State are 4-1
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
As a favorite 6-5
After a conference game 1-4
Off a loss against a conference rival 0-3
After allowing 80 points or more 1-2


Nebraska is 4-11-0 ATS in its last 15 games
Nebraska is 1-6-0 ATS in its last 7 away games
Nebraska is 5-0-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Oklahoma State
Nebraska most recently...
After a win are 6-4
After playing Missouri are 3-5
Before playing Baylor are 2-3
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
In road lined games 1-4
As an underdog 2-4
As a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points 0-1
When the total is 130 to 139.5 2-5
As an underdog 2-4

HeadToHead
Nebraska 1-3 SU 4-0 ATS Avg. Score 72.50 Avg. FG% 47.62
Oklahoma State 3-1 SU 0-4 ATS Avg. Score 75.25 AVG. FG% 43.62

Nebraska vs Conference 3-3 SU 3-3 ATS 1-2 ATSA
Oklahoma State vs Conference 2-4 SU 1-5 ATS 0-2 ATSH


Neb Off OSU Def OSU Off Neb Def Neb Off A OSU Def H OSU Off H Neb Def A
68.2 (152) 67.0 (113) 74.6 (57) 65.6 (90) 54.8 (227) 65.8 (133) 80.1 (36) 72.6 (150)



Last 5 Games- Nebraska 2-3 SU 2-3 ATS 62.0 ppg 36.9 FG% 36.0 TRB
Last 5 Games- Oklahoma State 2-3 SU 1-4 ATS 71.8 ppg 46.2FG% 36.0 TRB


Nebraska and Oklahoma State will be meeting for the 110th time in series history with the Huskers holding a 60-49 all-time advantage. Oklahoma State owns a 30-14 all-time record over the Huskers in Stillwater, Okla., and a 28-14 edge in venerable Gallagher-Iba Arena. In all three of Nebraska's league victories, it has held foes to less than 60 points while only one – then-No. 12/14 Oklahoma (45.3 percent) – hit better than 38 percent from the floor.

Oklahoma State has lost its last three games, including two in overtime by a
combined four points. Oklahoma State leads the Big 12 Conference in field goal
shooting, connecting on 50.5 percent of its shots from the floor. The Cowboys are the only team in the league shooting better than 50 percent. OSU is second in the league in free throw percentage at 72.5 percent. OSU is second in rebounding defense, allowing just 29 rebounds per game. Opponents have connected on 44.4 percent from the field on the year including 35.7 percent from beyond the arc, as teams have combined to hit 41 more 3-pointers than the Cowboys.


Nebraska is 13-6 overall this season and 3-3 in Big 12 Conference action.
The Huskers are 1-3 on the road, with their only win at Kansas State on
Jan. 11, a 57-42 victory over the Wildcats. NU is led by the senior duo of
Wes Wilkinson (12.3 points and 7.1 per game) and Jason Dourisseau (10.7
ppg, 6.8 rpg). The Huskers third-leading scorer, Joe McCray, has been suspended
indefinitely. As a team, Nebraska is shooting 41.3 percent from the
floor, but 35.3 percent from beyond the three-point arc.
NU's last victory on the Cowboys' home court came in 1998 when the Huskers grabbed a 67-62 victory. In four meetings in Stillwater since the start of Big 12 play, three were decided by a combined 16 points (NU 67-62 in 1998; OSU 70-63 in 2002; OSU 87-83 in overtime in 2004) and the other was a 94-55 OSU win.

I don't think that Nebraska is going to pull of the win here tonight, they just don't like to score on the road, but I like OSU giving them 11, so I'll take them and run.

Nebraska +11 - 2 units
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Old 01-31-2006, 04:45 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I like the Nebraska pick. However i am buying a couple and going with Uconn tonight. Pittsburgh is just too overrated for me this year and Uconn is just GOOD lol.

Good luck. Haven't decided if I am betting anything yet for sure but I like Uconn buying a couple. Maybe UNI.
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Old 01-31-2006, 05:25 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Nebraska feels real good, I am a little nervous about Pitt, you are right, UConn is GOOD..lol....we will know soon enough...buying a couple is a damn good idea...I mulled it over in my head, and ultimately decided to go with my gut...ya know how that goes.. I definitely like UNI...I posted it as well...good luck tonight bro......How about those Jayhawks?!$
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Old 01-31-2006, 10:52 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Decided to take nebraska +11.5 bought a point, and took UConn at 4 for the half....stayed away from game. Thought it was too high, and it was. Nice pick bro.
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Old 02-01-2006, 01:40 AM   #5 (permalink)
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was with u on PITT. nice call.
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Old 02-01-2006, 08:02 AM   #6 (permalink)
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welcome aboard portis!
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