Wednesday Picks 01/25/06

[breakingthabank]

3-1 posted plays so far. Let's all make some$$$$$$

593 Nebraska 12-5 SU 3-8 ATS 1-2 ATS away
594 Colorado 13-3 SU 10-4 ATS 5-3 ATS @ home

Colorado Home Offense 87.1 PF 48.7 FG% 38.4 3pt% 60.4 FT% 15.5 ORB 41.8TRB
Nebraska Away Defense 70.5 PA 40.8 FG% 39.8 3PT% 68.5 FT% 11.0 ORB 35.8 TRB
Colorado Home Defense 62.9 PA 39.4 FG% 33.0 3P% 64.3 FT% 10.6 ORB 32.1 TRB
Nebraska Away Offense 53.8 PF 32.2 FG% 29.9 3P% 56.2 FT% 14.0 ORB 37.0 TRB

Nebraska ATS – when playing against a team with a winning record 3-7, when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 games 0-2, as a road dog of 12.5 – 15 since 1997 1-5.
Colorado ATS – off a win against a conference rival 2-0, after scoring 80 points or more 5-2, when the total is 140 – 149.5 7-2, total is 140 – 144.5 1-0, as a favorite 6-3.

Nebraska losers of 2in a row both SU and ATS, Colorado has won 3 in a row both SU and ATS, Nebraska couldn’t cover a +12 at Allen Fieldhouse against a middle of the road Kansas Jayhawks team , I don’t see them coming close against host Colorado Buffaloes, who as a favorite of 14+ is 2-2 ATS this year and I see them improving that to 3-2 tonight. Colorado 73 -55. Taking Colorado -14 buy 1/2 - 2 units

583 Missouri State 12-5 SU, 10-6 overall, ATS 3-3, ATS away
584 Bradley 10-7 SU, 9-6, overall ATS, 5-2 ATS @ Home

Missouri St. Away Offense 76.9 PF 46.2 FG% 36.4 3P% 70.7 FT% 11.1 ORB 33.0 TRB
Bradley Home Defense 64.9 PA 40.5 FG% 29.33P% 73.6 FT% 10.6 ORB
31.3 TRB

Missouri St Away Defense 76.9 PA 44.4 FG% 33.6 3P% 69.8 FT% 11.9 ORB 32.6 TRB
Bradley Home Offense 79.1 PF 46.3 FG% 35.4 3P% 71.6 FT% 14.1 ORB 38.9 TRB

Bradley has lost 3 out of last 5 (2 of those 3 coming on the road), but has won 3 straight ATS: -15, +7, -14.5, have also had 4 straight overs, and the last three meetings between these 2 teams have gone over the total. Bradley is 6-3 ats as a favorite. As a fav 0f 3.5 - 6 they are 0-2; as a fav of 3 - 3.5 are 1-0. In games played @ Bradley over the last 3 seasons: Bradley is 2-0 both SU & ATS versus Missouri St. Bradley is 4-4 against the spread, & 5-3 straight up against Missouri St. since 1997.

I gotta go with Bradley -3.5 buying 1/2 to -3 at home against Missoura St. 2units

561 ISU -
562 MU -

Okay, here's the deal. I hate Iowa State, but I freaking can't stand Missouri But I am gonna make some bank off of one of these$!$!

The Tiggers smarting from a 15 point embarassment at the hands of Willie the Wilddcat after their "huge" victory over My beloved Jayhawks , play pretty tough ball at The Plaige, their fans actually fill the place now Quinniffer will have this team ready to play, because I think that he might think that he still has a shot at keeping his job , The Cyclones on the other hand are coming in at 3-0 ATS on the road 6-9-1 overall cause they flat suck ATS @ home; and couple that with The Tiggers lousy 2-4 ATS record @ home, but 7-2 SU @ home, ISU is pretty high octane on the road this year scoring an average of 83.3 ppg while shooting 52.9% from the field, MU allows only 66.6 pa this year, but in their last 5 that number jumps to 73.8 pa. Missouri is going to win this game, but I like Iowa State (2-0 as a dog of 1 - 2.5) getting 2 points on the road as both teams ats trends will continue. Taking Iowa State +3 buying 1 - 2 units

I have a couple more later on; there are a lot of games I like today!! it's like a freaking buffet, allucaneat$$$$$

[brs14ku]

No action on KU/A&M....and where are you from in kansas. I'm in lawrence, hence the name brs14....KU.

[breakingthabank]

Here are two more games that I like tonite:

559 Kansas 11-6 SU, 8-7 ATS Overall, 3-1 ATS on the road
560 Texas A&M 12-4 SU, ATS Overall 3-6, ATS @ Home 1-4


Kansas is 4-2-0 ATS in its last 6 games, 7-2-0 ATS in its last 9 games against Texas A&M, Kansas is 9-0 SU against Texas A&M.

Kansas after a win are 6-4 ,after playing Nebraska are 8-2, before playing Iowa State are 7-3 , and when playing on Wednesday are 10-0.

The Jayhawhks are boasting the #1 Team FG% Defense @ 35.5% Both teams are about even in the Team Scoring defense category KU #28 allowing 59.9 ppg, A&M #23 allowing 59.3 ppg. Kansas is ranked #35 in Team FG% @ 47.8

Kansas on the road is scoring 80.5 ppg and allowing 76.0 ppg on the road against A&M's 55.5 PA @home & 73.2 PF @ home. However in A&M's last five they are allowing more ppg (63.6) while scoring fewer ppg (64.8). Whereas KU is heating up in their last 5 scoring 77.0 ppg, and have been sinking more free throws than earlier in the season. If they can convert from the charity stripe, and limit turnovers, I see no reason why KU does not win this game straight up. Texas A&M is far from impressive, not that the Jayhawks are what they used to be, but I believe they will put 2 dissapointing losses against Interstate rival Tiggers of Mizzou , and Intrastate rival KSU, building off of the win @ home against the Cornshucker boys from Nebraska, taking that momentum and confidence into college station and winning outright.
Playing both
Kansas on the ML (-110) 2 units
Kansas +1 2 units

571 Drake 11-9 SU, 9-6-1 Overall ATS, 4-3-0 ATS away
572 Wichita State 16-4 SU, 8-6-1 Overall ATS, 3-3-1 @ Home ATS

Drake is 6-3-0 OU in its last 9 away, 11-4-0 ATS in its last 15 away games,
4-1-0 ATS in its last 5 away games against Wichita State (shockers are 1-2 as favs of 9-9.5, Drake is 0-1 as dogs of 9-9.5).

Drake brings its 11-9 record into Koch Arena to take on 16-4 Wichita State.
Drake brings in a good ATS away record against the Shockers mediocre home ATS record. Wichita State has been on quite a run winning 5 in a row SU and 4-5 ATS, yeah Drake has a 6-3 road ATS record, but vs conference opponents that number is 2-3 ATS away. Both teams are equally rested. Drakes defense away is allowing 74.2 ppg, WSU is scoring 71.9 @ home while allowing only 60.6 ppg. Drakes last 5 they have only scored 68.0 ppg. While giving up 69.4 ppg Last 5.


Despite Drakes Success ATS, I am going with WSU laying -9 at home and taking their win streak to 6.
Wichita State +9 - 2 units.

Got kinda sporadic here, my brain is fried . btb$!$

[breakingthabank]

Yeah I noticed the KU in your name, but it didn't really think to mention, I'm an idiot!...lol....I split my time in Salina & Topeka, Lawrence is a bitchin town, lotta fond (& fuzzy) memories . I could go on and on and....well u know. I think the The Hawks can do it tonight, even without Micah Downs. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!

[brs14ku]

Yeah KU had this one. And micah only played like 4 minutes in the previous 5 or 6 games. He barely got in during the 40 pt blowout of nebraska lol. He and Bill really just don't get along.

[breakingthabank]

That is funny!! Well good riddance. I just hope Bill can get the rest of the guys to mesh. They looked slppy as hell in last nights first half, wasn't to terribly excited about the 2nd half, but a win is a win.