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Old 12-18-2009, 04:54 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Friday's NCAA Hoops Best Bets !

Friday, December 18Game Score Status Pick Amount

NC-Greensboro - 7:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +13 500
Akron - Over 133 500

UC Santa Barbara - 9:05 PM ET Montana St. -4 500 *****
Montana St. - Under 136 500

Drexel - 10:05 PM ET Drexel +2.5 500 *****
CSU Northridge - Over 138 500

Pacific - 10:05 PM ET Pacific +10.5 500 *****
St. Mary's - Over 134.5 500

San Jose St. - 10:05 PM ET San Jose St. +1 500 *****
UC Irvine - Over 139.5 500

Utah St. - 10:05 PM ET Long Beach St. +4 500 *****
Long Beach St. - Under 141 500

New Mexico St. - 10:30 PM ET New Mexico St. +2 500
Pepperdine - Over 159.5 500 *****
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Old 12-18-2009, 05:03 PM   #2 (permalink)
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NCAAB
Long Sheet


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, December 18
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (6 - 3) at LONG BEACH ST (5 - 4) - 12/18/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PACIFIC (7 - 2) at ST MARYS-CA (8 - 1) - 12/18/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST MARYS-CA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 against the spread versus PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 1-0 straight up against PACIFIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DREXEL (5 - 5) at CS-NORTHRIDGE (4 - 5) - 12/18/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 1-0 against the spread versus CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 1-0 straight up against CS-NORTHRIDGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (4 - 4) at UC-IRVINE (5 - 4) - 12/18/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
UC-IRVINE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 6) at PEPPERDINE (3 - 8) - 12/18/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games in December games since 1997.
PEPPERDINE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
PEPPERDINE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 straight up against PEPPERDINE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNC-GREENSBORO (2 - 6) at AKRON (5 - 3) - 12/18/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 1-0 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-SANTA BARBARA (4 - 2) at MONTANA ST (5 - 4) - 12/18/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UC-SANTA BARBARA over the last 3 seasons
UC-SANTA BARBARA is 2-0 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Old 12-18-2009, 05:04 PM   #3 (permalink)
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NCAAB
Write-up


Friday, December 18

Information on Friday's college basketball games.

Long Beach State is 3-4 vs tough schedule (113th out of 347); 49ers are playing first home game vs D-I foe (played two lower level teams); they are 3-3 vs spread as a dog. Utah State won five of last six games; they're 2-2 on road. WAC favorites are 12-11 vs spread, 3-2 on road; Big West road dogs are 19-13 vs spread, 3-2 at home.

Pacific is 8-2, losing by 4 at San Jose, by 25 at home to Cal; Big West road dogs are 19-13 vs spread, 16-11 on road. St Mary's is 6-1, winning last three games on the road (broke Utah State's 37-game home winning streak); Gaels are 4-1 vs spread as a favorite. WCC home faves are 7-9 vs spread in non-conference games,

Northridge is 3-5, but is favored for first time this year; Matadors are on court for first time in 10 days. Big West home faves are 9-2 vs spread in non-league games. Drexel is 5-5, but won last two games, allowing total of 82 points; they're 2-2-1 vs spread as an underdog this season. CAA road underdogs are 19-13 against the spread.

Cal-Irvine beat Hawai'i by 10 in only home game vs D-I team; they just lost by point at Seattle. Anteaters are 2-0 vs spread as a fave.Big West home favorites are 9-2 vs spread in non-league games. San Jose State is playing for first time in nine days; they're 1-3 on road, with losses by 10-4-5 points. WAC underdogs are 15-17 vs spread, 11-12 on road.

Pepperdine is 2-7 vs D-I schools; this is first time this year they've been favored; New Mexico State is 2-6 vs D-I teams after losing big at UCLA Wednesday; they're 1-5-1 vs spread as a dog. WCC favorites are 9-15 vs spread in non-conference games, 7-9 at home. WAC underdogs are 15-17 vs spread, 11-12 on road.

Akron is 4-3 vs D-I teams, but 0-2-1 vs spread as a favorite; Zips are 4-1 allowing less than 74 points. NC-Greensboro is 2-6, 3-2 vs spread as dog, losing road tilts by 34-13, with wins at Samford/SC Upstate. MAC home favorites are 7-6 vs spread in non-conference games; SoCon road underdogs are 20-21 against the spread.

Cal-Santa Barbara is 3-2, winning only road game by 5 at LMU; UCSB is playing for first time in 13 days. Montana State is 3-4, 2-1 at home (lost 66-62 to good Southern MIss team); they're 2-1 as a favorite. Big Sky favorites are 3-6 vs spread, 2-5 at home. Big West road dogs are 19-13 vs spread, 16-11 on road.
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Old 12-18-2009, 05:04 PM   #4 (permalink)
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NCAAB


Friday, December 18

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. FURMAN
No trends available
Furman is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. AKRON
UNC Greensboro is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Akron is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Akron is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:45 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. MOREHEAD STATE
No trends available
Morehead State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

9:05 PM
SANTA BARBARA vs. MONTANA STATE
Santa Barbara is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Santa Barbara is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Montana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montana State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:05 PM
DREXEL vs. CS NORTHRIDGE
Drexel is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Drexel is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
CS Northridge is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
PACIFIC vs. ST. MARY'S
Pacific is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Pacific is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
St. Mary's is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:05 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. UC IRVINE
San Jose State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
UC Irvine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
UTAH STATE vs. LONG BEACH STATE
Utah State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Long Beach State
Utah State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Long Beach State
Long Beach State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah State
Long Beach State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah State

10:30 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. PEPPERDINE
New Mexico State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
New Mexico State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pepperdine is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
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Old 12-18-2009, 05:05 PM   #5 (permalink)
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NCAAB
Dunkel Index


NC Greensboro at Akron
The Spartans look to take advantage of an Akron team that is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite between 7 and 12 1/2 points. NC Greensboro is the pick (+11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Zips favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: NC Greensboro (+11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 523-524: Utah State at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 66.032; Long Beach State 60.969
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 5
Vegas Line: Utah State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-3 1/2)

Game 525-526: Pacific at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 58.390; St. Mary's (CA) 70.816
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-11 1/2)

Game 527-528: Drexel at CS-Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 54.100; CS-Northridge 59.462
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 3
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-3)

Game 529-530: San Jose State at UC-Irvine
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 51.449; UC-Irvine 54.336
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 3
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-2)

Game 531-532: New Mexico State at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 51.605; Pepperdine 51.199
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 3
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+3)

Game 533-534: NC Greensboro at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: NC Greensboro 51.171; Akron 57.097
Dunkel Line: Akron by 6
Vegas Line: Akron by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC Greensboro (+11 1/2)

Game 535-536: UC-Santa Barbara at Montana State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.767; Montana State 56.234
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-3)
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Old 12-18-2009, 05:05 PM   #6 (permalink)
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NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, December 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST at LONG BEACH ST, 10:00 PM ET
UTAH ST: 11-0 UNDER off a road win
LONG BEACH ST: 26-13 ATS at home off a home win

PACIFIC at ST MARYS-CA, 10:00 PM ET
PACIFIC: 6-15 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8
ST MARYS-CA: 8-1 ATS in December

DREXEL at CS-NORTHRIDGE, 10:00 PM ET
DREXEL: 0-6 ATS AWAY after a combined score of 110 points or less
CS-NORTHRIDGE: 9-1 ATS after a combined score of 165+ points

SAN JOSE ST at UC-IRVINE, 10:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 7-18 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5
UC-IRVINE: 10-2 ATS off a road loss

NEW MEXICO ST at PEPPERDINE, 10:30 PM ET
NEW MEXICO ST: 2-15 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
PEPPERDINE: 10-2 ATS after allowing 90+ points

Added Games

UNC-GREENSBORO at AKRON, 7:00 PM ET
UNC-GREENSBORO: 2-10 ATS in non-conference games
AKRON: 12-4 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

UC-SANTA BARBARA at MONTANA ST, 9:00 PM ET
UC-SANTA BARBARA: 9-19 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5
MONTANA ST: 18-7 OVER at home when the total is 130 to 139.5
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