[Raji]

Toronto at Minnesota (+123, 7 ½)

You have to feel sorry for Roy Halladay. The poor fella would probably be a Cy Young candidate on any other team, but with the Blue Jays, he’s just a candidate for anger management counseling. But you can’t blame him for being frustrated because it seems like every time he pitches a gem, the Jays’ offense doesn’t back him up. In his eight starts this season, he’s getting an average of 2.75 runs in support.

And the frustration is starting to show. Halladay has built a reputation as a workhouse and he’s already pitched two complete games this season, but in recent games, he’s been trying to do too much. He’s striking out more batters, but his last two starts have been his shortest of the season. In his last start, Halladay lasted only six innings, gave up four earned runs and walked three batters – all bad numbers for him.

He’ll be up against Minnesota’s Boof Bonser, who has given up 11 earned runs in his last two starts and is 0-2 against the Blue Jays.

Pick: Over

San Diego at Chicago Cubs (-114, no total yet)

The Cubs are almost unbeatable at home this season. They took a loss to San Diego at Wrigley yesterday, but overall the Cubs are 15-7 in the Friendly Confines and they’ve lost only two series there this season.

Don’t pay any mind to Ted Lilly’s ERA. His last start was outstanding as he pitched seven strong innings against the Diamondbacks and held baseball’s best hitting team to three hits and one earned run over seven innings. Lilly got off to a rough start this season, but he’s turned the corner and there’s great value in this guy right now if you look at his last four outings in which he has a 2.42 ERA and is 3-1. The lefty also has a perfect 3-0 career mark against the Padres.

The Cubs will have a tough test against San Diego’s Jake Peavy (and bettors should take a long look at the under when this total comes out) but the Padres’ road record (7-15) is discouraging and they haven’t given Peavy much in the way of run support in recent starts.

Pick: Cubs

Raji