Excellent stuff and a great read, glad you posted it. I do have to disagree with your comment on the trends.
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Buffalo has absolutely no trends to support a play on them tonight
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Here are just a few
allas is 2-12 ATS off a win by 28+ points and Buffalo is 24-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less. The Bills are 9-3 ATS as home dogs in non conference play
Trends are a funny animal though because no matter what side you support you can always find trends for that play. I try to use some that have some substance.
Spoons