5* MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -141

Cincinnati vs. Miami, 09/15/2012 19:10 EDT, Score: 4 - 6

Money Line: -141 Cincinnati

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

5* MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -141
Off a series-opening loss to the lowly Marlins, the NL Central-leading Reds will bring their "A" game tonight. Cueto will be especially focused following consecutive losses. Cueto hasn't lost three straight starts in over three years, and he has owned the Marlins. He is 2-0 (4-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.91 in four career starts. He shut them out in a three-hit, seven-inning performance earlier this season. The Reds are 25-11 in Cueto's last 36 starts, 4-0 in his last four starts after scoring two runs or less in their previous game and 4-0 in his last four Saturday starts.

Cincy is 6-1 in its last seven games following a loss and 28-5 in its last 33 in the second game of a series. The Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win and 0-6 in their last six during the second game of a series.

The Marlins are just 3-7 in Buehrle's last 10 starts and 0-4 in his last four starts on six days' rest. I'll gladly take the better team with the better starter on the hill at this price.