Texas A&M vs. Southern Methodist,
09/15/2012 15:30 EDT,
Score: 48 - 3
Point Spread: -10½/-110 Texas A&M
Texas A&M -11
Motivated by last week's 3-point loss to Florida, expect the Aggies to take out their frustrations on SMU, who they defeated 46-14 last season.
The discrepancy in talent was clear in last year's matchup, and nothing has changed as Texas A&M still has far better players. The Aggies are 10-0-1 against SMU dating back to 1985 and coach Kevin Sumlin went 4-0 against the Mustangs while at Houston.
A&M's running attack, which racked up 212 yards in last season's rout, will again be the difference. SMU gave up 220 yards on the ground to Baylor in a blowout loss in Week 1 so its susceptibility to the run is clear.
The Aggies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus C-USA while the Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the SEC. Also, keep in mind that road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that outgained opponents by 75 yards or more per game the previous season are 28-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been favored by an average of 15.9 points and have won by an average of 26.9 points. Take Texas A&M.