5* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Patriots -13.5

Arizona vs. New England, 09/16/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 20 - 18

Point Spread: -13½/-110 New England

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Loss

5* NFL Blowout Game of the Week on Patriots -13.5
Pats rolled on the road in Week 1, and I expect an encore at home in Week 2 against the Cards.

New England is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last 5 games against Arizona, and it has won these by an average of 21.6 points.

In addition, home favorites that outscored the opposition by 4.0 points or more per game last season, provided they are coming off a game in which they went for 30 points or more, are 36-9 ATS since 1983. This system is 11-1 ATS the last 10 seasons and a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

The New England offense is a well-oiled machine, and I saw improvement from the defense in Week 1. Arizona only managed 253 yards in Week 1. It just doesn't have the fire power to stick with the Pats. Lay the points.