3* Big Chalk Blowout on Central Florida -17

Florida International vs. Central Florida, 09/15/2012 16:00 EDT, Score: 20 - 33

Point Spread: -17/-110 Central Florida

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

3* Big Chalk Blowout on Central Florida -17
UCF underachieved last season, and one of its slip-ups came against Florida International. Fueled by last season's shortcomings, I expect a great year from the Knights. And, I expect them to pay back the Golden Panthers in a big way Saturday.
The fact UCF returns home after losing at Ohio State bodes well for us. That's because the Knights are 14-5 ATS in home games off a road loss under coach George O'Leary.
In addition, favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that outscored foes by an average of 7.0 points or more per game last season, provided they return 8 starters on defense and it's the first month of the season, are 25-3 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been favored by an average of 15.4 points and have won by an average of 27.9. This system is 14-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.