3* SEC SMASH (ESPN) on Tennessee -2.5

Florida vs. Tennessee, 09/15/2012 18:00 EDT, Score: 37 - 20

Point Spread: -2½/-115 Tennessee

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

3* SEC SMASH (ESPN) on Tennessee -2.5
This is the year Tennessee ends its losing streak to Florida. The Gators have taken a step back without Urban Meyer, yet they continue to get unwarranted respect from pollsters and odds makers.

Florida has been consistently overvalued and is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games as a result. It is only 1-6 ATS in its last 7 conference contests.

The fact odds makers have installed Florida as an underdog against a school it has defeated 7 consecutive times is very telling, especially since the Gators are the higher ranked team in the polls.

Consider that Florida is 0-7 ATS as an underdog since the beginning of the 2010 season and has lost in this situation by an average score of 29.0 to 10.4. Lay the points.