5* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Month on Florida State -27.5

Wake Forest vs. Florida State, 09/15/2012 12:00 EDT, Score: 0 - 52

Point Spread: -27½/-110 Florida State

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Win

5* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Month on Florida State -27.5
The Seminoles could be the best team in the country, and they aren't about to get caught looking past a team that upset them a year ago.

The last time these two met in Tallahassee, the Noles won 31-0. I expect the rout to be on again this year.

Consider that home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points that average 6.2 yards or more per play, provided they are matched up against a team that allows 4.8 to 5.6 yards per play, after gaining 6.25 yards or more per play in 2 consecutive games are 35-6 ATS since 1992. Teams fitting into this situation have been favored by an average of 26.1 points and have won by an average of 36.3. This system is a perfect 12-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

The Demon Deacons are only 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games, and I expect this road game to get real ugly for them in a hurry.