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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest, 09/08/2012 15:00 EDT, Score: 27 - 28

Point Spread: -10½/-105 North Carolina

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

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North Carolina -10.5
Wake Forest struggled to beat Liberty in its opener. It was outgained 363-293, which doesn't bode well considering the step up it takes in competition this week.

North Carolina hammered Elon 62-0, outgaining the Phoenix 524-170. The Tar Heels were clearly the sharper team in Week 1, and they clearly have more talent and depth.

North Carolina has won 11 of the last 16 meetings with Wake Forest dating back to 1992, and it is 6-2 SU and ATS in Winston-Salem during this span. The Heels dominated last season's meeting, notching a 49-24 victory in Chapel Hill while outgaining the Demon Deacons 562-331. UNC QB Bryn Renner went bonkers in that game, completing 21 of 28 passes for 338 yards and 3 touchdowns. He easily outperformed Wake's Tanner Price, who was 17 of 29 for 146 yards and 3 interceptions.

I didn't see enough out of Wake last week to lead me to believe they have closed the gap between it and North Carolina. Lay the points.