3* NCAAF SMASH (Big Ten Network) on Vanderbilt -3.5

Vanderbilt vs. Northwestern, 09/08/2012 20:00 EDT, Score: 13 - 23

Point Spread: -3½/-105 Vanderbilt

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

3* NCAAF SMASH (Big Ten Network) on Vanderbilt -3.5
Northwestern is getting a little too much respect from the odds makers this week. They won at Syracuse in Week 1 but benefited from 3 Orange turnovers. This is significant because the Wildcats are 0-6 ATS all-time in home games after a game in which they forced 3 or more turnovers under coach Fitzgerald. They have lost by an average score of 32.5 to 18.3 in this situation.

It is also worth noting that Northwestern is 0-7 ATS in home games after scoring 42 points or more last game dating back to 1992. It has lost by an average score of 32.9 to 24.6 in this situation.

Additionally, the Wildcats are 16-37 ATS in their last 53 games following a win, 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 September contests.

The Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September. Lay the points.