Houston vs. St. Louis,
08/22/2012 20:15 EDT,
Score: 2 - 4
Point Spread: -1½/-120 St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -120
The Cardinals get the call on the run line as our free play considering the advantage they have on the mound with Lohse (12-2, 2.61 ERA), who is 6-0 with a 2.18 ERA in last 11 starts. Houston's Norris (5-10, 5.23) is 0-9 with a 6.98 ERA in his last 13 starts.
The Cards are 10-0 this season in Lohse's starters versus teams that are outscored by an average of 0.5 runs or more per game. The Red Birds have won by an average score of 5.6 to 2.6 in this situation.
The Astros have lost 5 in a row with each of those defeats coming by at least 2 runs. The fact they failed to score more than 4 runs in any of these games is significant because they are 0-10 in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games this season. They have lost by an average score of 6.6 to 3.1 in this situation.
The Astros have lost 12 of Norris' last 13 starts, and 9 of those losses came by 2 runs or more. Bet St. Louis on the run line.