4* NCAAB OVER/UNDER BEATDOWN

Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State, 12/29/2011 20:05 EDT, Score: 61 - 65

Total: -110/+121 Under

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

I believe the total for the UNI/Illinois State matchup is showing some great value tonight. Both of these teams like to play at a slow pace, focusing more on taking good shots and playing tough defense. UNI comes into the game giving up just 58.9 ppg, while Illinois State allows just 56.8 ppg. If both defense simply play to their averages, we have 3-points to work with.

I don't think the final score will even come close to that total, and recent matchups between these two schools back that up. In the last five meetings between UNI and Illinois State, the final has fallen under the posted total for tonight's game.

The UNDER is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 25-8 in Redbirds last 33 home games. BET THE UNDER 121!