15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +7.5

Chicago vs. Sacramento, 12/29/2011 22:00 EDT, Score: 108 - 98

Point Spread: +7½/-110 Sacramento

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

The Sacramento Kings should not be this big of an underdog to the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are way overrated early in the season after finishing with the league's best record last year. The Kings are way underrated after finishing with one of the worst records in the NBA last season. This provides us with ample value to pull the trigger on the Kings tonight.

Sacramento has already proven that they can play with the elite teams. The Kings beat the Los Angeles Lakers 100-91 at home in their opener. That was an impressive win considering they had lost nine of their last 10 to Los Angeles coming in. They had also lost nine of their last 10 at home to the Lakers.

Proof that Chicago is overvalued comes with the fact that they are 0-2 ATS this season. They were favored by 5 points at the Lakers and needed to erase a 10-point deficit over the final four minutes just to win 88-87. They went on the road the following night and lost at Golden State 91-99 as a 6.5-point favorite.

The Bulls are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Chicago is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Sacramento is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. The Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. Roll with the Kings Thursday.