5* Alamo Bowl *BEST BET*
Washington vs. Baylor,
12/29/2011 21:00 EDT,
Score: 56 - 67
Point Spread: +10/-110 Washington
5* Alamo Bowl *BEST BET* on Washington +10
The public is all over Baylor with this game being played in its own backyard and with the Bears boasting Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III. Knowing the public would be eager to take the Bears, odds makers have overinflated this line to secure a big payday.
Baylor is about as good as it gets offensively, but it is one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Washington studs Keith Price and Chris Polk will be able to held the Huskies exploit a Baylor defense ranked 114th nationally with 478.3 yards allowed per game. Baylor will score, but Washington has the horses to match the Bears tit for tat.
One thing you don't want to do is go against coach Sarkisian's Huskies when they've had extra time to prepare. That's because Washington is a perfect 6-0 ATS under Sarkisian when getting more than 1 week to prepare. It has won by an average score of 30 to 15.5 in these games.
In addition, the Huskies are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as an underdog, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Big 12 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Take Washington.