5* MLB *BEST BET*
Pittsburgh vs. Colorado,
07/16/2012 20:40 EDT,
Score: 4 - 5
Money Line: -118 Colorado
5* MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -118
I'm getting behind the Rockies at home with Francis on the mound under the lights. Colorado is a perfect 5-0 this season in Francis' night starts, winning them by an average score of 6.6 to 2.2 while he has posted a 3.08 ERA.
The Rockies are coming off a loss, but Francis has proved up for the challenge in such situations. In fact, the Rockies are 4-0 in Francis' last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Flipping to Pittsburgh, we find that the Pirates are 8-19 in Karstens' last 27 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 series-opening starts.
The Pirates have dropped 11 of their last 16 in Colorado, and I expect them to drop another one here.