NBA FREE PICK: Suns +1.5

Philadelphia vs. Phoenix, 12/28/2011 21:00 EDT, Score: 103 - 83

Point Spread: +1½/-102 Phoenix

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

The Suns opened the season with a tough 84-85 loss at home to the Hornets. Phoenix hasn't started out 0-2 since the 1996-97 season.

The 76ers lost 103-107 at Portland on Monday, despite shooting 48% from the field. Philadelphia is a team a lot of people are expecting to show big improvements this season, but I don't believe they deserve to be favored in Phoenix. Dating back to last season, Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

The Suns shot just 38.5% in the loss to New Orleans. Phoenix is primarily a team who shoots a lot of jump shots. If they aren't falling, any team in the NBA can beat them regardless of where the game is.

My money is on the Suns to shoot a much higher percentage tonight and win this game as a live underdog. BET THE SUNS +1.5!