4* Interleague SMASH
Milwaukee vs. Kansas City,
06/14/2012 20:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 4
Money Line: -122 Milwaukee
4* Interleague SMASH on Brewers -122
After enduring a pair of tough one-run defeats in the first two games of this series, I expect the Brew Crew to take care of business tonight.
Milwaukee has a sizable advantage on the mound with Marcum, who is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.29 over his last 3 starts. He also has an impressive 2.84 road ERA this season.
The fact Marcum gave up 2 road trippers in his last start means he will be that much more focused tonight. Consider that he is 14-1 on the money line in his last 15 road starts after giving up 2 or more home runs in his last outing. His teams have won by an average score of 5.7 to 2.4 in this situation.
Kansas City's Hochevar has been a dead fade at home, where he is 0-4 (0-5 on the ML) with an ERA of 10.23.
The Royals are just 10-20 at home on the season.
Milwaukee's bullpen, which has a WHIP of 1.551, is a bit of a concern. However, KC is 0-9 the last 2 seasons versus teams with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse. It has lost to these teams by an average score of 7.1 to 2.9. We'll bet the Brew Crew.