3* Interleague *Public Massacre*
Detroit vs. Chi Cubs,
06/13/2012 20:05 EDT,
Score: 8 - 4
Money Line: -113 Chi Cubs
3* Interleague *Public Massacre* on Cubs -113
The public is all over the Tigers here as odds makers have successfully enticed bettors by giving Detroit an underdog price. We'll gladly go against the grain.
Consider that plays on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after 2 or more consecutive wins, provided they have won 38% or their games or less on the season, are 34-14 the last 5 seasons. That's a 71% system in our favor.
In addition, the Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games where Garza has been lights out. The Cubs have won 5 of his last 7 home starts dating back to last season, and he is carrying an ERA of just 1.91 through 4 home starts this season.
The Tigers don't have the same caliber arm on the mound in Porcello, who has an ERA over 5.00 on the season. The Tigers are only 2-5 in Porcello's last 7 starts as an underdog and 22-46 in their last 68 interleague games as an underdog.
The Tigers haven't been able to get over the hump on Humpday as they are a pitiful 0-7 in their last 7 Wednesday games. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
We'll take the Cubs.