10*

Western Michigan vs. Purdue, 12/27/2011 16:30 EDT, Score: 32 - 37

Point Spread: -1½/-110 Purdue

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Win

Purdue is a lot better than what people think. Western Michigan gave up an average of 434 yards a game, which was second to last in the MAC, a conference that’s not known for it’s defensive prowess. Purdue is a very experienced team here too. What will be the focus of the Purdue attack will likely be the Broncos weak run defense (216 ypg – 107th), which will be a problem this afternoon.
Purdue’s defense is statistically a better unit (388 ypg – 68th), and on paper their pass defense could be strong enough to limit the damage the Broncos will like to inflict (203 ypg – 37th). I’m taking Purdue minus the points as they are the better team who played a tougher schedule and are now healthy at all positions.