20* Angels/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -115
LA Angels vs. Seattle,
05/24/2012 22:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 0
Money Line: -115 LA Angels
The Los Angeles Angels are showing great value as a small road favorite over the Seattle Mariners tonight. After taking two out of three from the Texas Rangers in their last series, the Mariners are in for a huge letdown spot in Game 1 of this series.
I know Dan Haren has posted worse numbers than Jason Vargas this season, but I have no doubt that Haren is the better starter in this match-up. The reason the Angels are only a small favorite tonight is because Haren is off to a slow start.
Haren has owned the Mariners, going 10-5 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 19 career starts against Seattle. He has given up 3 earned runs or less in eight consecutive starts against the Mariners, so he always gives his team a chance to win. All six of those were quality starts as he went at least 6 innings in each.
The Mariners are 12-32 in their last 44 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Seattle is 22-50 in their last 72 Thursday games. The Mariners are 8-20 in Vargas' last 28 starts with 4 days of rest. The Angels are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings. The Mariners are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 starts vs. Angels. Bet the Angels Thursday.