15* AL Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +101
Detroit vs. Cleveland,
05/22/2012 19:05 EDT,
Score: 3 - 5
Money Line: +101 Detroit
The Detroit Tigers should not be an underdog to the Cleveland Indians tonight. Cleveland is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 23-18 start, while the Tigers are undervalued right now due to their sub-par 20-21 record.
There's no question that the Tigers are the more talented team, and it's only a matter of time before they overtake the Indians. Plus they have the better starter going tonight in Rick Porcello, who has posted a 3.55 ERA on the road this season.
Ubaldo Jimenez has lost about 4-5 MPH on his fastball since his career year in 2010. The fact of the matter is that the Indians made a bad trade when they dealt for him last year. Jimenez is 4-3 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.696 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 28 strikeouts in 46 innings. He has more walks (32) than K's.
Porcello is 5-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in 12 career starts against Cleveland, and his teams are 9-3 in those contests. Jimenez is 2-5 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in seven career starts against Detroit. He went 0-3 with a 9.98 ERA in his final three 2011 starts against the Tigers.
Detroit is 54-24 in their last 78 vs. Americal League Central opponents. The Tigers are 20-6 in Porcello's last 26 starts vs. division foes. Detroit is 10-1 in their last 11 meetings with the Indians, including 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Cleveland. Roll with the Tigers Tuesday.