Joe D's NBA Game 7 Winner between LA/Memphis

LA Clippers vs. Memphis, 05/13/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 82 - 72

Point Spread: +7½/-105 LA Clippers

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

Today's winner is Los Angeles over Memphis.

It doesn't surprise me that this series has gone to 7 games. The Grizzlies barely eked by the Clippers in the regular season for the 4th seed and home court. The press has made much ado over minor injuries to Griffen and Paul. The duo will play after both being cleared. Remember that in this series alone, Memphis blew a 27 point lead in Game 1 and saw a 24 point lead disappear in game 5. Both of those games were played in Memphis. Their biggest problem all season long is closing out games in the 4th quarter. I believe the line is way off here. The combination of minor injuries to Clippers stars and the fact that Memphis is at home has allowed the odds makers to try to make us think that laying 8 points is alright. The tandem of Rudolph and Gasol has given Memphis their life but that just isn't enough for a team that can't finish late in the game. The Grizzlies are 1-5-2 ATS their L8 games played as a favorite 3-7-2 ATS their L12 games play4d vs. the West, and 3-10-2 ATS their L15 games played overall. Take. Los Angeles. Thank you.