4* MLB SMASH

Cincinnati vs. Milwaukee, 05/07/2012 20:10 EDT, Score: 6 - 1

Money Line: -123 Milwaukee

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

4* MLB SMASH on Brewers -123
The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Reds, winning those games by an average of 5.0 runs, and I expect them to make it 5 straight over Cincy tonight with Gallardo on the hill.

The talented right-hander has been a nightmare at home for NL clubs with an on-base percentage of .325 or worse. The Brewers are a perfect 14-0 since the beginning of last season with Gallardo on the hill against such clubs, winning by an average score of 5.3 to 2.1 in the situation.

It is also worth noting the the Brewers are 17-2 in Gallardo's home starts in night games since the start of the 2012 season. They have won these contests by an average score of 6.5 to 3.4.

Cincy has not been a good underdog investment at 9-25 in its last 34 games in the role. It is just 1-5 in its last 6 games as a road underdog. We'll bet the Brew Crew.