5* AFC ROAD WARRIOR GAME OF THE MONTH
Denver vs. Buffalo,
12/24/2011 13:00 EDT,
Score: 14 - 40
Point Spread: -2½/-117 Denver
This is an absolute must win game for the Denver Broncos, who currently lead the AFC West by 1-game and are tied with the Jets and and Bengals for the final Wild Card spot. The Bills lost their seventh straight game last week and have absolutely nothing to play for.
The Broncos had their five game winning steak snapped by the New England Patriots last week, and it seems like that loss has them extremely undervalued against an unmotivated Bills group.
Since Tim Tebow has taken over at quarterback the Broncos have become one of the top run teams in the NFL. Denver rushed for 252 yards in a losing effort last week. Another big effort on the ground should lead to an easy win for the Broncos.
Buffalo comes into the game 29th in the league against the run, allowing 139.5 ypg. They have allowed 150+ in each of their last three, including 254 yards to the Dolphins last week. That is a sure sign that a team has completely cashed it in and is simply playing to get the season over with.
Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, while Buffalo is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. BET THE BRONCOS -1.5!