15* NFL Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Arizona Cardinals +5

Arizona vs. Cincinnati, 12/24/2011 13:00 EDT, Score: 16 - 23

Point Spread: +5/-110 Arizona

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Loss

The Arizona Cardinals are a live underdog Saturday against the Cincinnati Bengals. Getting them at or above this key number of 4 is huge in a game that I see being decided by a field goal either way. The clear value is with the road underdog in this one.

Cincinnati opened the season 6-2 as they were clearly one of the surprise teams in the first half of the season. The odds caught up with them in the second half, and we've found out that this team is not as good as they were cracked up to be. The Bengals are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and they are overvalued once again this afternoon.

Arizona has clearly been undervalued all second half, and that's the case again today. The Cardinals are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. What's most impressive about this run is that they have been an underdog in six of those seven games, winning outright five times and winning six overall. This team is on a run right now and they need backed with a wager.

The Bengals are a putrid 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. They are failing to cover 92% of the time in this spot over the past three seasons. Cincinnati is 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite overall. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog, and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games. Roll with the Cardinals Sunday.