15* Jets/Giants NFL Saturday No-Brainer on UNDER 47

NY Giants vs. NY Jets, 12/24/2011 13:00 EDT, Score: 29 - 14

Total: -110/+47 Under

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

In a rivalry game like this, I will side with the UNDER nine times out of 10. That's especially the case Sunday as oddsmakers have set the bar too high in the Jets vs. Giants game. The Jets play tremendous defense, but their offense is not built for putting up big points.

The Jets rank just 26th in total offense (306.0 yards/game) and an outstanding 7th in total defense (317.9 yards/game). They like to play a possession game, controlling the clock with their running game and forcing their opponents to put together long, sustained drives defensively.

With the temperatures getting colder by the day, the running game always becomes more important late in the year. While the Giants have not ran the ball with much success this season, there's no question it is going to be a bigger part of their offense this week. They know they cannot let Eli Manning sit back and get killed by this blitz-happy Jets' defense.

The Jets are 13-2 to the UNDER in their last 15 games after allowing 7 or more yards/play in their previous game. Both teams had poor defensive performances last week, which has certainly forced the oddsmakers to inflate this number. I see both defenses rebounding in a big way this afternoon against two one-dimensional offenses. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.