3* MLB SMASH

Chi Cubs vs. Philadelphia, 04/30/2012 19:05 EDT, Score: 4 - 6

Money Line: -163 Philadelphia

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Win

3* MLB SMASH on Phillies -163
I don't normally play many favorites above -150 but feel the Phillies are worth it here.

Dating back to last season, Chris Volstad's teams are 0-6 in his last 6 starts (and 2-12 in his L14) with those defeats coming by an average of 3.33 runs. In addition, Volstad is 0-7 on the ML in his last 7 starts versus the Phillies. Those losses have come by an average of 4.14 runs.

The Phillies, meanwhile, are 19-7 in Vance Worley's last 26 starts, 7-3 in his last 10 home starts, 7-1 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.

The Cubs are only 4-23 in their last 27 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Take Philly.