3* NBA Christmas Gift

LA Clippers vs. Golden State, 12/25/2011 22:30 EDT, Score: 105 - 86

Point Spread: +5/-105 Golden State

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

3* NBA Christmas Gift on Warriors +5

Even if Stephen Curry isn't able to go, I still think the Warriors are showing excellent value catching this many points at home.

Chris Paul will make the Clippers a better team by season's end, but it's going to take time for him to build chemistry with his new set of teammates. The Warriors will be a more cohesive unit Sunday night, and that gives them an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset.

The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Warriors are 36-13-3 ATS in their last 52 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.

The Warriors have either won or lost by 4 points or less in 6 of the last 7 meetings in this series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in those 7 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Golden State. Take the points.