3* NFL *SUPER SYSTEM SMOKER*
Tampa Bay vs. Carolina,
12/24/2011 13:00 EDT,
Score: 16 - 48
Point Spread: +9/-135 Tampa Bay
3* NFL *SUPER SYSTEM SMOKER* on Buccaneers +9
This is a letdown spot for the Panthers, who upset the Texans last week, but more important, this is an extreme bounce back spot for the Bucs.
Consider that plays on road underdogs or pickems that check in off 7 or more consecutive losses are an incredible 60-28 ATS since 1983. These teams, which have been underdogs of 9.5 points on average, have only lost by an average of 5.8 points.
In addition, plays against any team that that allowed 14 or fewer points last game, provided it is matched up against an opponent that has endured consecutive losses of 14 points or more, are 30-7 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams in this situation have been favored by an average of 5.3 points but have actually lost by an average of 0.6 points. This system is an impressive 9-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. We'll take the points.