5* Saturday NFL *BEST BET*

Philadelphia vs. Dallas, 12/24/2011 16:15 EDT, Score: 20 - 7

Point Spread: -1/-120 Dallas

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

5* Saturday NFL *BEST BET* on Cowboys -1
This game is all about revenge for the Cowboys, who were embarrassed in Philly on Oct. 30. That loss, along with a chance to win the NFC East, will be the driving force behind a Dallas win Saturday afternoon.

The Eagles have come out fast and furious in back-to-back wins, but recent history tells us this is the time to turn our backs on them. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 25.2 to 16.3 in this situation.

The running game is very important to Dallas' success. Last week's 160-yard performance on the ground puts the Cowboys in a very favorable situation Saturday. Consider that Dallas is 6-0 ATS in home games after outrushing an opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons. It's winning by an average score of 27.3 to 14.3 in this situation.

The Cowboys are banged up at running back, but I still like their chances running the football on a Philly defense that has had problems with the run all season. The Eagles have allowed an average of 120.3 rushing yards over their last 4 games.

The Cowboys have won four of the last six in this series straight up. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Eagles are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. We'll back the Boys.