4* MLB SMASH

Atlanta vs. Arizona, 04/21/2012 20:10 EDT, Score: 3 - 2

Money Line: +116 Arizona

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

4* MLB SMASH on Diamondbacks +116
Following back-to-back embarrassing losses to the Braves, I expect the D-backs to come storming back tonight.

Consider that plays on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 following a loss by 6 runs or more to an opponent that has scored 7 runs or more in 4 straight games are 27-11 the last 3 seasons.

In addition, the Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 16-5 in their last 21 during game 3 of a series, 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog and 35-16 in their last 51 home games.

The Snakes are also in good hands with Saunders (0.64 ERA this season and 0.68 ERA against Atlanta). They are 6-2 in his last 8 starts, 5-1 in his last 6 home starts, 4-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog and 4-1 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog. The Braves are just 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Hanson was hit pretty hard his last time out in a 6-1 loss to the Mets, and the Braves are just 1-4 in his last 5 starts. We'll take the D-backs showing nice value in the home dog role.