4* NCAAB UNBELIEVABLE UNDERDOG
Air Force vs. Gonzaga,
12/22/2011 21:00 EDT,
Score: 60 - 70
Point Spread: +16½/-110 Air Force
Air Force isn't getting enough respect against Gonzaga. The Falcons are a respectable 6-2 on the year, with their two losses coming by a combined 5-points. Air Force is a very difficult team to blow out because of how well they play defensively. In eight games, only two teams have shot better than 40% from the field.
There is no question that Gonzaga is a very talented team, who should have no trouble winning this game. I just don't think it will be by more than 16 points!
The timing of this game should help the Falcons. While I still expect a lot of people to go to the game, with this being Christmas break I expect a lot more empty seats than normal. It might not seem like something that will have a big impact on the game, but I strongly believe it does.
Air Force is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games following three or more consecutive home games, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. BET THE FALCONS +16.5!