NCAAB FREE PICK: Dayton -4
Seton Hall vs. Dayton,
12/21/2011 19:00 EDT,
Score: 69 - 64
Point Spread: -4/-109 Dayton
While Seton Hall comes into this game riding a six-game winning streak and are 9-1 overall, I believe the right play is on Dayton -4. A lot of the public will look and see Dayton is just 8-3 with a couple of bad losses and jump all over Seton Hall and the points. If the oddsmakers didn't think Dayton had a strong chance of winning this game, they wouldn't list them as a favorite.
Two things to consider on why Dayton deserves some action on Wednesday.
The Flyers went on the road and beat Seton Hall 69-65 last year. Not only will Dayton be confident they can win, they are going to be very motivated to put an end to the Pirates winning streak.
The big thing is the fact that Seton Hall will be playing their first true road game of the season. They have played three neutral games, one of which they lost by 7-points to Northwestern.
The Pirates are 1-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons and 1-9 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing