Joe D'Amico's NCAAB 75% LV Strip Move Winner
Louisville vs. Kentucky,
03/31/2012 18:09 EDT,
Score: 61 - 69
Point Spread: -8½/-109 Kentucky
Saturday's winner is Kentucky over Louisville. This is my LV Strip Move Winner.
When Kentucky faced Louisville on New Year's Eve, the Wildcats shot just 3 of 16 from beyond the arc and still disposed of the Cardinals, 69-62. The 'Cats dominated the paint as well as got to the line 43 times. Not to mention that the squad outrebounded the Cardinals, 57-31. Louisville dropped 4 of their final 6 games before entering the Big East Tourney. The team came together defensively in the post-season. But let’s face it, despite an ATS post-season mark of 8-0, they haven't had to face any unit like they will today in Kentucky. Behanan and Dieng are the teams only rebounders. Even when these two teams met in December, no Cardinals topped more than 8 points and five players combined for only 26 points on 8 of 35 shooting. PG, Peyton Silva is slumping over recent games and has reverted back to his old issues with foul troubles. Kentucky has the most athletic and well-balanced attack in the nation at both ends of the court. They post 77.9 PPG, while holding foes to a mere 60.6 PPG. They lead the NCAA with 8.6 blocks per game and are 10th in rebounding margin (7.1). The Wildcats play smart ball, only committing 14.8 fouls a contest. They took down such notables as Kansas, North Carolina, Louisville, Vanderbilt twice, Florida twice, and Baylor. They come in to this matchup covering three straight. Six players are posting DDs, with Anthony Davis leading the way with 14.3 PPG. Davis, Jones, and Kidd-Gilchrist are teaming up for 24.9 RPG. The front court is so good that the back court sometimes gets overlooked. Kentucky will own the paint and the glass here. Remember that Louisville biggest flaw is rebounding. The Cardinals are 2-6 ATS their L8 games played vs. the Wildcats and the Wildcats are 11-4 ATS their L15 NCAA Tournament games played as a favorite. Take Kentucky. Thank you.